Francis Evans (Carlton) Over 0.5 Goals (-213)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Looking at Francis Evans' recent form, it's clear he's been making his mark on the scoreboard. Over his last five home games, he's been averaging 0.8 goals, showing a steady hand in front of the big sticks. With an impressive goal accuracy of 26.7% and 2.2 shots at goal per game, he's been actively involved in Carlton's attacking plays.
Facing off against Hawthorn at the MCG, Francis has a prime opportunity to continue his scoring streak. His recent hit rates both overall and at home, coupled with his consistent involvement in setting up scoring opportunities (5.6 score involvements per game), make him a solid bet to snag at least one goal. With the model predicting him to hit the back of the net once, backing Francis Evans to score over 0.5 goals seems like a smart move for this matchup.