MODELS ONLINE / DATA PROVIDER · NOT A BOOKMAKER / EVERY PICK TIMESTAMPED & GRADED / 12 LEAGUES MODELLED
Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
AFL

Matthew Cottrell

Carlton

+1.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -357 (1.28)
+1.5% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 4 Jul, 9:35AM
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
79.6%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+1.5%
Predicted Value
14.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Matthew Cottrell (Carlton) Over 10.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding value in the disposals market for the clash between the Richmond Tigers and the Carlton Blues, there's a player who stands out: Matthew Cottrell. The young gun has been on a tear lately, averaging 13 disposals over his last five away games, including a solid 16 against this very Richmond side. With his current form showing no signs of slowing down, Cottrell's ability to find the footy, coupled with his efficient ball use (69.4% disposal efficiency), makes the Over 10.5 disposals line seem like a steal. His knack for getting involved in contests (4.8 contested possessions on average) and covering ground (220.4 metres gained) sets him up for a big day at the MCG. Backing Cottrell to surpass 10.5 disposals is not just a punt; it's a calculated move backed by solid recent performances.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Matthew Cottrell (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Cottrell is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 4 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.