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The latest Bet Better model pick for Harry Dean is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 80 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 80%, implied 75%, edge +5.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 3:52AM UTC
AFL

Harry Dean

Carlton

+5.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
+5.2% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 29 Aug, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
80 in 100
Predicted
13.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 79.8% · the book's price implies 74.6% · gap +5.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals79.8%—74.6%1.25+5.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Harry Dean (Carlton) Over 10.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to placing your hard-earned cash on an AFL player prop bet, you want reliability and consistency. Enter Harry Dean of the Carlton Blues. Dean's recent form is nothing short of impressive, averaging 13 disposals per game over his last five away matches. Facing Melbourne, where he previously notched an average of 10 disposals, Dean's knack for finding the ball is evident. With his solid disposal efficiency of 77.6% and ability to cover the ground with 155 meters gained, the signs point to Dean surpassing the 10.5 disposal line. Riding a hot streak with a hit rate of 5 out of 6 in his last six games, backing Dean to shine in this matchup at the MCG seems like a smart play. Trust in Dean to deliver the goods and snag you a win on this player prop bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Harry Dean has cleared 9.5 disposals in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.590%
o10.570%
o11.570%
o12.560%
o13.540%
o14.540%
o15.510%
o16.510%
o17.50%
o18.50%
o19.50%
o20.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Harry Dean is averaging 13.0 disposals per game over his last 5.

13.0
Disp · Overall
0.2
Goals · Overall
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Harry Dean (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harry Dean is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.2% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 29 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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