When it comes to backing a seasoned forward like Jack Gunston to snag over 2.5 goals in the upcoming clash against Carlton, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Gunston has been in scintillating form, averaging an impressive 4 goals per game over his last 5 away fixtures. His accuracy in front of goal sits at a solid 60.2%, indicating he's making his shots count. With an average of 4.4 marks inside 50 and 7.2 score involvements per game, Gunston is a constant threat in the attacking half. Against Carlton specifically, he's been even more lethal, averaging 2.2 goals per game in their last 5 encounters. With a current away hit streak and a stellar overall hit rate, Gunston is primed to light up the scoreboard once again at the MCG. Bet confidently on Gunston to deliver the goods and split the middle multiple times this weekend.
Mitch McGovern (Carlton) Over 0.5 Goals (-323)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Looking at Mitch McGovern's recent form, he's been a real threat in front of goal, averaging 1.2 goals in his last five home games. His accuracy, sitting at 40.0%, shows he's been clinical when opportunities arise. With an average of 2.6 shots at goal per game, he's not shy to have a crack when near the big sticks. Additionally, his involvement in the Blues' scoring plays has been significant, averaging 5.2 score involvements in his last five home matches. Facing Hawthorn, against whom he's previously scored, Mitch looks primed to continue his scoring streak, especially with a current hit streak of 2 goals overall. All signs point towards Mitch McGovern snagging a goal in this game, making the Over 0.5 goals market a solid bet to consider.
Karl Amon (Hawthorn) Over 20.5 Disposals (-227)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to consistent midfield performers, Karl Amon of the Hawthorn Hawks stands out as a reliable asset. Amon's recent away form has been nothing short of stellar, averaging an impressive 27.4 disposals per game over his last five matches on the road. His ability to find space and rack up possessions, including a solid average of 19.6 kicks and 7.8 handballs in away games, demonstrates his influence in driving the Hawks' midfield. Moreover, facing Carlton, Amon has historically elevated his game, boasting an average of 21.5 disposals in their recent matchups. With a current hit streak of six on the road and an overall hit streak of four, Amon is primed to surpass the 20.5 disposals line set by sportsbet. Backing Amon to continue his dominance in this clash is a savvy move for punters looking to capitalize on his exceptional form.
Francis Evans (Carlton) Over 0.5 Goals (-213)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Looking at Francis Evans' recent form, it's clear he's been making his mark on the scoreboard. Over his last five home games, he's been averaging 0.8 goals, showing a steady hand in front of the big sticks. With an impressive goal accuracy of 26.7% and 2.2 shots at goal per game, he's been actively involved in Carlton's attacking plays.
Facing off against Hawthorn at the MCG, Francis has a prime opportunity to continue his scoring streak. His recent hit rates both overall and at home, coupled with his consistent involvement in setting up scoring opportunities (5.6 score involvements per game), make him a solid bet to snag at least one goal. With the model predicting him to hit the back of the net once, backing Francis Evans to score over 0.5 goals seems like a smart move for this matchup.
Jai Newcombe (Hawthorn) Over 24.5 Disposals (-204)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jai Newcombe, the rising star for Hawthorn, is poised to make a significant impact in their clash against Carlton at the hallowed MCG. Over his last five away games, Newcombe has been a midfield dynamo, averaging a whopping 26.6 disposals, comfortably exceeding the 24.5 line set by sportsbet. His recent form showcases his ability to find the footy with ease, boasting impressive numbers in contested possessions, handballs, and kicks. With a stellar disposal efficiency of 80.1% on the road, Newcombe is not just a ball magnet but also incredibly effective with his possessions. Against Carlton, he has historically elevated his game, averaging 24 disposals in their previous encounters. Coupled with his current hot streak and consistent performances, backing Newcombe to go over 24.5 disposals is a smart bet with a high probability of hitting.
Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks : Carlton Blues 12.5 (-112)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Alright, footy fans, let's break down why backing the Carlton Blues at +12.5 points could be a savvy move in this clash against the Hawthorn Hawks at the iconic MCG. The Blues have been showing some serious grit lately, especially at home. In their last five games at the MCG, they've kept their average margin tight at 5.2 points, with a solid average of 84 points for and 78.8 points against. Their ability to hit targets has been impressive, averaging 12 goals from 28.2 shots on goal. On the flip side, the Hawks have been a bit leaky on the road, conceding an average of 90.8 points in their last five away games. With the Blues hungry for a win and their efficient scoring, they could well keep this one within the spread. Trust the trend, back the Blues to cover.