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AFL

Ben Ainsworth

Gold Coast SUNS

+0.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -400 (1.25)
+0.6% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
Model Probability
80.6%
Implied Probability
80.0%
Model Edge
+0.6%
Predicted Value
13.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Ben Ainsworth (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 9.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ben Ainsworth is poised to excel against the Brisbane Lions based on his recent form. With an average of 11.2 disposals in his last five away games and an impressive 12.5 disposals against the Lions in their previous encounters, Ainsworth is likely to surpass the set line of 9.5 disposals. His consistency in contested possessions, kicks, and metres gained further strengthens this bet. Despite a current hit streak of 0, Ainsworth boasts a solid away game hit rate of 10/12, indicating his reliability in meeting or exceeding performance expectations. These factors, coupled with his overall hit rate of 11/12, make Ainsworth a favorable choice to secure over 9.5 disposals in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 72.0% (36/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 9.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 9.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 9.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending

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