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AFL

Ben Ainsworth

Carlton

+7.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -189 (1.53)
+7.8% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Thu 16 Apr, 9:30AM
Model Probability
73.1%
Implied Probability
65.4%
Model Edge
+7.8%
Predicted Value
1.0 Goals

AI Analysis

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Ben Ainsworth (Carlton) Over 0.5 Goals (-189)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ben Ainsworth, the dynamic forward for the Carlton Blues, is primed to light up the MCG against the Collingwood Magpies. Over his last five home games, Ainsworth has been a scoring machine, averaging 1.2 goals per game. His recent form against Collingwood shows consistency, with an average of 1 goal per matchup. With a solid track record of 1 goal per game overall, Ainsworth knows how to split the middle with precision. His scoring instincts are backed by an impressive 43.3% goal accuracy at home, ensuring that when he gets his chances, he makes them count. Ainsworth's involvement in the scoring plays, evident through his 5 score involvements per game, highlights his impact on the Blues' offensive drives. Expect Ainsworth to snag a goal and surpass the 0.5 mark comfortably in this highly anticipated clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 100.0% (4/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -189 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Ben Ainsworth (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (4/4). The latest model pick for Ben Ainsworth is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.8% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues on Thursday 16 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.