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Model picks & player props
North Melbourne Kangaroos
VS
Carlton Blues

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Carlton Blues Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 3:56AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

AFL
MCG, Melbourne
Outdoor
Sat 21 Jun 2025, 3:20AM
20
Game markets graded
12
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Carlton Blues Moneyline -400

The model graded 32 markets for North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Carlton Blues (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $125 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 21 Jun 2025, 3:20AM at MCG.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win94.6%
The price says80.0%
Best price-400
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Carlton Blues High95% chance -400
Spread High66% chance
Spread High60% chance
Moneyline Long-shot28% chance
Total Points Lean56% chance
Disposals × 6 props Highup to 93%
Goals × 6 props Highup to 94%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Carlton Blues
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Carlton BluesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Melbourne KangaroosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Melbourne KangaroosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Melbourne KangaroosMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Kangaroos

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Blues

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Carlton Blues: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
George Hewett Carlton Disposals
Cameron Zurhaar North Melbourne Goals
Caleb Daniel North Melbourne Disposals
Tom De Koning Carlton Disposals
Paul Curtis North Melbourne Goals

+ 12 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Carlton Blues — what the model found

Our model graded 32 betting markets for North Melbourne Kangaroos at Carlton Blues — 20 on the game itself and 12 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
12
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 32 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 31 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Carlton Blues — model preview

Winning bets for Carlton Blues vs North Melbourne Kangaroos? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Tom De Koning. Explore AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Carlton Blues vs North Melbourne Kangaroos stats and odds.

Tom De Koning (Carlton) Over 14.5 Disposals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Tom De Koning is poised to shine in the 'Player Disposals Over/Under' market against North Melbourne. His recent form, averaging 20.4 disposals in home games, surpasses the set line of 14.5. With a model predicting 18.1 disposals, a 9.8% edge, and consistent performance metrics like a 68.8% disposal efficiency and a 3-game hit streak, De Koning is likely to exceed expectations. Facing an opponent where he averages 12.5 disposals, his home advantage and solid overall 19.8 disposals average further support this bet. Expect De Koning to continue his streak and snag over 14.5 disposals at the MCG.

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Carlton Blues in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Kangaroos vs Blues, or as Blues vs Kangaroos. The most recent game between them was Saturday 21 June 2025 at MCG. The model has generated 20 game picks and 12 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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