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Model picks & player props
New Orleans Saints
VS
Chicago Bears

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 10:13PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Chicago
Sun 19 Oct 2025, 5:00PM
18
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Chicago Bears -4.5 Spread -115

The model graded 18 markets for New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $187 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 19 Oct 2025, 5:00PM at Chicago.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win69.6%
The price says53.5%
Best price-115
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Chicago Bears -4.5 High70% chance -115
Total Points High67% chance —
Moneyline Lean45% chance —
Spread High63% chance —
Total Points High61% chance —
Total Points Lean55% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Chicago Bears -4.5 · $100 returned $192

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Chicago Bears
-4.5
-115
+ 17 more markets
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All 18 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago BearsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Orleans SaintsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago BearsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New Orleans Saints

  • Mason Tipton WROut
  • Michael Heldman DEQuestionable
  • Moliki Matavao TEOut
  • Ty Chandler RBOut
  • Rejzohn Wright CBOut
  • Oscar Delp TEQuestionable
  • Torricelli Simpkins III GQuestionable
  • Brien Taylor DTQuestionable
  • Lorenzo Styles Jr. SQuestionable
  • Devin Neal RBQuestionable
  • John Ridgeway III DTQuestionable
  • Alvin Kamara RBQuestionable
  • Jordyn Tyson WRDoubtful

Chicago Bears

  • Luther Burden III WRQuestionable
  • Jaylon Johnson CBQuestionable
  • Austin Booker DEQuestionable
  • Nephi Sewell LBOut
  • Keyshaun Elliott LBQuestionable
  • Elijah Hicks SQuestionable
  • Tyrique Stevenson CBQuestionable
  • Xavier Woods SQuestionable
  • Ruben Hyppolite II LBQuestionable
  • Nikola Kalinic TEOut
  • Coby Bryant SOut
  • Dallis Flowers CBOut
  • Jonathan Garvin DEOut
  • Kyle Monangai RBQuestionable
Availability updated Aug 30, 6:35PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 27 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability27 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew Orleans Saints to winNo line posted

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadChicago Bears spreadNo line posted

Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsSaints @ BearsNo line posted

Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears — what the model found

Our model graded 18 betting markets for New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears — 18 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

18
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 18 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 17 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears — recent results

Chicago Bears have won 3 of their last 5 games; New Orleans Saints have won 1 of their last 4.

Chicago Bears — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W24–15TENAway
L9–27CINAway
W34–10CLEHome
L17–20LARHome
W31–27GBHome
New Orleans Saints — last 4
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W27–24DALAway
L0–34LARAway
L20–24JAXHome
L17–19ATLAway

Who’s out or in doubt

27 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago Bears
PlayerStatus
Luther Burden III WRQUESTIONABLE
Jaylon Johnson CBQUESTIONABLE
Austin Booker DEQUESTIONABLE
Nephi Sewell LBOUT
Keyshaun Elliott LBQUESTIONABLE
Elijah Hicks SQUESTIONABLE
Tyrique Stevenson CBQUESTIONABLE
Xavier Woods SQUESTIONABLE
New Orleans Saints
PlayerStatus
Mason Tipton WROUT
Michael Heldman DEQUESTIONABLE
Moliki Matavao TEOUT
Ty Chandler RBOUT
Rejzohn Wright CBOUT
Oscar Delp TEQUESTIONABLE
Torricelli Simpkins III GQUESTIONABLE
Brien Taylor DTQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
6
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
19 Oct 25 Moneyline New Orleans Saints ✗ MISS
19 Oct 25 Spread Chicago Bears -4.5 ✓ HIT
19 Oct 25 Total Points Under 45.5 ✓ HIT
19 Oct 25 Total Points Under 46.5 ✓ HIT
19 Oct 25 Spread Chicago Bears -5.5 ✓ HIT
19 Oct 25 Total Points Under 47.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Saints vs Bears, or as Bears vs Saints. The most recent game between them was Sunday 19 October 2025 at Chicago. The model has generated 18 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 6 meetings on record
New Orleans Saints 5–1 across the last 6 meetings · these games average 42.2 points (meetings on record since 2017)
DateGameScoreWinner
19 Oct 2025New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears26–14Chicago Bears
5 Nov 2023Chicago Bears @ New Orleans Saints24–17New Orleans Saints
10 Jan 2021Chicago Bears @ New Orleans Saints21–9New Orleans Saints
1 Nov 2020New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears23–26New Orleans Saints
20 Oct 2019New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears25–36New Orleans Saints
29 Oct 2017Chicago Bears @ New Orleans Saints20–12New Orleans Saints
Today's selected board

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