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AFL

Mitch McGovern

Carlton

+5.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -182 (1.55)
+5.9% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Thu 10 Jul, 9:30AM
Model Probability
70.4%
Implied Probability
64.5%
Model Edge
+5.9%
Predicted Value
0.9 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Mitch McGovern (Carlton) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-182)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Mitch McGovern is a solid bet to score anytime based on his recent form. With an average of 1.2 goals in his last 5 home games and a goal accuracy of 36.0%, he has been a consistent threat in front of goal. Additionally, his average of 1.8 goals overall in the same period shows his scoring prowess. Facing the Brisbane Lions, where he has averaged 0 goals in his last 5 matchups, McGovern will be motivated to improve this record. With an edge of 5.9% according to the model, the odds favor him snagging a goal at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (12 picks) 66.7% (8/12)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Jul 25 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -182 ✗ MISS
10 Jul 25 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -182 ✓ HIT
10 Jul 25 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -182 ✗ MISS
10 Jul 25 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Goals Pending
10 Jul 25 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Goals Pending
10 Jul 25 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Goals Pending

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