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Model picks & player props
AFL
MCG, Melbourne
Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul 2026, 7:35 PM AEST
Carlton Blues
VS
Collingwood Magpies

Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 38 markets for Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies and backs Collingwood Magpies -7.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $192.

20
Game markets graded
18
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Collingwood Magpies
to win by 8+ points
Collingwood Magpies -7.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$19.17Best price-109
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win64.3%
The price says52.1%

The model graded 38 markets for Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $192 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 18 Jul 2026, 7:35 PM AEST at MCG.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Collingwood Magpies -7.5 High64% chance -109
Spread Members only High63% chance Members
Spread Q3 Members only Lean56% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean57% chance Members
Spread Q4 Members only Lean56% chance Members
Spread Q2 Members only Lean56% chance Members
Team Total Points H1 Members only Lean57% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean46% chance Members
Total Points Q3 Members only Lean53% chance Members
Disposals × 11 props Highup to 88% Members
Goals × 7 props Highup to 96% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Carlton Blues and Collingwood Magpies last met on Sat 18 Jul 2026: Collingwood Magpies won 90-69. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every AFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Collingwood Magpies
-7.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Collingwood MagpiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Collingwood MagpiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Collingwood MagpiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Collingwood MagpiesSpread Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Collingwood MagpiesSpread Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Collingwood MagpiesSpread Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Carlton BluesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Points Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Points H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Points H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Points Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Blues

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Magpies

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jack Crisp Collingwood Disposals
Brodie Kemp Carlton Goals
Will Hayward Carlton Goals
Oliver Hollands Carlton Disposals
Jack Buller Collingwood Goals

+ 18 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies — what the model found

Our model graded 38 betting markets for Carlton Blues at Collingwood Magpies — 20 on the game itself and 18 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
18
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 38 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 37 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies — model preview

Deep dive into Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Patrick Cripps. Check out AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues stats and odds.

Patrick Cripps (Carlton) Over 23.5 Disposals (-192)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to go big in the disposals department, few names shine as brightly as Patrick Cripps. The Carlton skipper is set to lead the Blues into the Magpies' territory at the MCG, a stage where he thrives. Cripps has been a ball magnet lately, averaging a whopping 29 disposals in his last five away games. His contested possessions prowess (14.2 avg) and ability to cover ground (340.2 metres gained avg) make him a nightmare for opponents. Facing Collingwood, a team he's historically outperformed in disposals, Cripps is poised to command the midfield once again. With a model predicting him to hit 26.9 disposals, well above the 23.5 line, the smart money is on Cripps to feast on the pill and deliver for punters looking for a reliable disposal machine.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Blues vs Magpies, or as Magpies vs Blues. The most recent game between them was Saturday 18 July 2026 at MCG. The model has generated 20 game picks and 18 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Collingwood Magpies 2–0 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Sat 18 Jul 2026, Carlton Blues at Collingwood Magpies: Collingwood Magpies won 90-69.

DateGameScoreWinner
18 Jul 2026Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies90–69Collingwood Magpies
16 Apr 2026Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues83–88Collingwood Magpies
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