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AFL

Adam Cerra

Carlton

+3.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -357 (1.28)
+3.1% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 9 Aug, 9:35AM
Model Probability
81.3%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+3.1%
Predicted Value
24.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Adam Cerra (Carlton) Over 19.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Adam Cerra is poised to shine in this matchup against Gold Coast Suns at Marvel Stadium. With a model-predicted 24 disposals and a solid average of 24.4 disposals in his last five home games, Cerra's consistency is a key factor. His impressive stats in contested possessions (10.8) and kicks (14) further support this bet. Additionally, his strong history against Gold Coast, averaging 27 disposals in their last five encounters, bodes well for surpassing the 19.5 disposals line. Cerra's recent form, coupled with his ability to maintain high disposal numbers, makes him a reliable choice to snag over 19.5 disposals in this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (30 picks) 66.7% (20/30)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Aug 25 Carlton Blues @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 19.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
03 Aug 25 Carlton Blues @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 19.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 25 Carlton Blues @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 19.5 Over -500 ✗ MISS
24 Jul 25 Carlton Blues @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
24 Jul 25 Carlton Blues @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
24 Jul 25 Carlton Blues @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending

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