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AFL

Adam Cerra

Carlton

+3.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -455 (1.22)
+3.9% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Thu 9 Apr, 9:40AM
Model Probability
85.8%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+3.9%
Predicted Value
23.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Adam Cerra (Carlton) Over 18.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Adam Cerra is our man for the 'Disposals Over' bet in the upcoming clash between Carlton Blues and Adelaide Crows. His recent form is red hot, averaging 23.8 disposals in his last five away games. Facing the Crows, he's been even better, averaging 20 disposals in their recent encounters. With a current hit streak of 5 games and an impressive 65.2% disposal efficiency, Cerra is in the zone. His ability to find space, rack up kicks, and contribute in contested situations makes him a prime candidate to surpass the 18.5 disposals line. Trust Cerra to orchestrate the Blues' midfield and snag those crucial possessions to help your bet hit paydirt.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (11 picks) 72.7% (8/11)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 18.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 17.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 19.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Disposals Pending
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Adam Cerra (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 11 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 72.7% (8/11). The latest model pick for Adam Cerra is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.9% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Adelaide Crows on Thursday 9 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.