Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues: Adam Cerra Under 21.5 Disposals (-120)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Melbourne have been strong at home, winning seven out of their last ten games. They usually win the contested ball by a decent margin, and that could limit how much time Carlton's Adam Cerra gets to rack up disposals. Though Carlton has also been doing well lately, Cerra might struggle with Melbourne's pressure, especially at the MCG.
With both teams focusing on winning the contested ball, Cerra may find it tough to get more than 21.5 disposals. Carlton has a solid defense, allowing fewer points than Melbourne scores. The biggest risk here is that Cerra could surprise everyone with a standout game, but the numbers suggest he might fall short.