Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
AFL

Billy Wilson

Carlton

Value call

Billy Wilson (Carlton) has one live pick today: over 3.5 marks that pays $146 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
5.0 marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.7% · before adjusting for past results 73.6% · the book's price implies 68.5% · gap -6.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 4 Sep, 7:40 PM AEST
Billy Wilson
over 3.5 marks
Marks Over 3.5 -217 (1.46) · $100→$146
Value call
HIGHWins about 62 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.60 Odds-217
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Billy Wilson is Over 3.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 62%, the price says 68%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:02PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks73.6%61.7%68.5%1.62+5.1%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Geelong Cats vs Carlton Blues: Billy Wilson Over 3.5 Marks (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Carlton's Billy Wilson has been showing he can really get involved in the game. He's been hitting the marks pretty well lately, which is great for this bet. With Carlton winning the contested ball more often than Geelong, Wilson should have plenty of chances to rack up those marks. Geelong has been strong at home, but they've also been letting opponents score quite a bit. The risk here is that Geelong's defense might tighten up, but with Wilson's recent form and the way Carlton plays, it seems likely he can get over 3.5 marks. It's a good chance to take!

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Billy Wilson - AFL Disposals market.

MarksSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Billy Wilson - AFL Marks market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Marks 3.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals 16.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals 15.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Billy Wilson (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Billy Wilson is Over 3.5 on Marks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.1% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Geelong Cats on Friday 4 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.