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The latest Bet Better model pick for Cooper Lord is Over 1.5 on Tackles.
On Tackles, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 75%, edge +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 3:51AM UTC
AFL

Cooper Lord

Carlton

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tackles Over 1.5 -303 (1.33) · $100→$133
+0.2% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 29 Aug, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
3.0 Tackles
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.4% · the book's price implies 75.2% · gap +0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tackles75.4%—75.2%1.33+0.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Cooper Lord (Carlton) Over 1.5 player_tackles_over (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to AFL betting, it's all about pinpointing those key player performances that can swing the game. Cooper Lord of the Carlton Blues is our man for the Tackles Over market this weekend against the Melbourne Demons at the iconic MCG. In his last 5 away games, Lord has been a defensive powerhouse, averaging 2.6 tackles and 0.4 tackles inside 50. Facing Melbourne in recent matchups, he's amped up his game even more, hitting an average of 4 tackles per game. With a consistent showing of 1.4 tackles overall in his last 5 games, Lord is honed in and ready to make a defensive impact. The numbers point to him snagging more than 1.5 tackles in this clash. Bet smart, back Lord to keep the pressure on and hit that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Cooper Lord has cleared 13.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o13.5100%
o14.5100%
o16.590%
o18.550%
o19.550%
o21.530%
o23.520%
o24.510%
o26.50%
o28.50%
o29.50%
o31.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Cooper Lord is averaging 20.6 disposals per game over his last 5.

20.6
Disp · Overall
0.2
Goals · Overall
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Cooper Lord (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cooper Lord is Over 1.5 on Tackles. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 29 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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