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Model picks & player props
Buffalo Bills
VS
Miami Dolphins

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 2:07AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Miami
Sun 9 Nov 2025, 6:00PM
12
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Buffalo Bills -8.5 Spread -105

The model graded 12 markets for Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Nov 2025, 6:00PM at Miami.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win70.6%
The price says51.3%
Best price-105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Buffalo Bills -8.5 High71% chance -105
Spread High71% chance —
Moneyline Long-shot31% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Miami Dolphins · $100 returned $492

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Buffalo Bills
-8.5
-105
+ 11 more markets
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All 12 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Buffalo BillsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Buffalo BillsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Buffalo Bills

  • Khalil Shakir WRQuestionable
  • Keon Coleman WRQuestionable
  • Ty Johnson RBQuestionable
  • Terrel Bernard LBQuestionable
  • Jude Bowry OTQuestionable
  • Connor McGovern CQuestionable
  • Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles LBOut
  • Michael Hoecht DEQuestionable

Miami Dolphins

  • Will Kacmarek TEQuestionable
  • Jacob Rodriguez LBQuestionable
  • Cole Turner TEOut
  • Kenneth Grant DTQuestionable
  • Trey Moore LBOut
  • Ronnie Harrison Jr. LBQuestionable
  • Ollie Gordon II RBQuestionable
  • Zach Sieler DTQuestionable
  • Ben Sims TEQuestionable
  • Lonnie Johnson Jr. SQuestionable
  • Rene Konga DTOut
Availability updated Aug 30, 3:50PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins: Outdoors with 3 mph wind, 86°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfacenatural grass
Wind3 mph
Temperature86°F
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMiami Dolphins to winNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadBuffalo Bills spreadNo line posted

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsBills @ DolphinsNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins — what the model found

Our model graded 12 betting markets for Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins — 12 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

12
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 12 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 11 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins — recent results

Miami Dolphins have won 0 of their last 4 games; Buffalo Bills have won 4 of their last 5.

Miami Dolphins — last 4
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L12–17ATLHome
L3–26NYGHome
L7–20WSHAway
L10–38NEAway
Buffalo Bills — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W28–27PITHome
W31–7CLEAway
W29–14CARHome
L30–33DENAway
W27–24JAXAway

Who’s out or in doubt

19 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Miami Dolphins
PlayerStatus
Will Kacmarek TEQUESTIONABLE
Jacob Rodriguez LBQUESTIONABLE
Cole Turner TEOUT
Kenneth Grant DTQUESTIONABLE
Trey Moore LBOUT
Ronnie Harrison Jr. LBQUESTIONABLE
Ollie Gordon II RBQUESTIONABLE
Zach Sieler DTQUESTIONABLE
Buffalo Bills
PlayerStatus
Khalil Shakir WRQUESTIONABLE
Keon Coleman WRQUESTIONABLE
Ty Johnson RBQUESTIONABLE
Terrel Bernard LBQUESTIONABLE
Jude Bowry OTQUESTIONABLE
Connor McGovern CQUESTIONABLE
Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles LBOUT
Michael Hoecht DEQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
09 Nov 25 Moneyline Miami Dolphins ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Bills vs Dolphins, or as Dolphins vs Bills. The most recent game between them was Sunday 9 November 2025 at Miami. The model has generated 12 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 23 meetings on record
Buffalo Bills 18–5 across the last 23 meetings · these games average 51.4 points (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
9 Nov 2025Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins30–13Miami Dolphins
18 Sep 2025Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills31–21Buffalo Bills
3 Nov 2024Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills30–27Buffalo Bills
12 Sep 2024Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins10–31Buffalo Bills
7 Jan 2024Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins14–21Buffalo Bills
1 Oct 2023Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills48–20Buffalo Bills
15 Jan 2023Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills34–31Buffalo Bills
17 Dec 2022Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills32–29Buffalo Bills
25 Sep 2022Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins21–19Miami Dolphins
31 Oct 2021Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills26–11Buffalo Bills

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 23 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

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