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Model picks & player props
Buffalo Bills
VS
Miami Dolphins

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 20, 4:27AM UTC

Our model graded 12 markets for Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins and backs Buffalo Bills -9.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $195.

NFL
Miami
Sun 9 Nov 2025, 6:00PM
12
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Buffalo Bills -9.5 Spread -105

The model graded 12 markets for Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Nov 2025, 6:00PM at Miami.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win70.6%
The price says51.3%
Best price-105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Buffalo Bills -9.5 High71% chance -105
Spread Members only High71% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot31% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins last met on Sun 9 Nov 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Miami Dolphins · $100 returned $492

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NFL market — 174 of 355 right (nfl alternate team total points overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 15
Kansas City Chiefs Over 17.5
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $136
Our call on this game: — members only · unlock tonight's call1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Buffalo Bills
-9.5
-105
+ 11 more markets
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All 12 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 57,537+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Buffalo BillsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Buffalo BillsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Buffalo Bills

  • DJ Moore WRQuestionable
  • Skyler Bell WROut
  • T.J. Sanders DTOut
  • Ed Oliver DTOut
  • Ty Johnson RBOut
  • Ar'maj Reed-Adams GOut
  • Jalon Kilgore SOut
  • Jude Bowry OTOut

Miami Dolphins

  • Ronnie Harrison Jr. LBOut
  • Chop Robinson LBOut
  • Kyle Louis LBOut
  • Tucker Addington LSQuestionable
Availability updated Sep 19, 9:21PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins: Outdoors with 3 mph wind, 86°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfacenatural grass
Wind3 mph
Temperature86°F
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMiami Dolphins to winNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadBuffalo Bills spreadNo line posted

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsBills @ DolphinsNo line posted
8-3Free board · overs and unders
Last 107-3Home3-0Away5-3
Free board · recent overs and unders8-3

Miami Dolphins game total — on our free board this call has landed 8 of 11 times, updated every game week on BetBetter.

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins — what the model found

Our model graded 12 betting markets for Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins — 12 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

12
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 12 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 11 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins — recent results

Miami Dolphins have won 0 of their last 5 games; Buffalo Bills have won 5 of their last 5.

Miami Dolphins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L13–27LVAway
L12–17ATLHome
L3–26NYGHome
L7–20WSHAway
L10–38NEAway
Buffalo Bills — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W41–31DETHome
W36–31HOUAway
W28–27PITHome
W31–7CLEAway
W29–14CARHome

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Miami Dolphins
PlayerStatus
Ronnie Harrison Jr. LBOUT
Chop Robinson LBOUT
Kyle Louis LBOUT
Tucker Addington LSQUESTIONABLE
Buffalo Bills
PlayerStatus
DJ Moore WRQUESTIONABLE
Skyler Bell WROUT
T.J. Sanders DTOUT
Ed Oliver DTOUT
Ty Johnson RBOUT
Ar'maj Reed-Adams GOUT
Jalon Kilgore SOUT
Jude Bowry OTOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
09 Nov 25 Moneyline Miami Dolphins ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Bills vs Dolphins, or as Dolphins vs Bills. The most recent game between them was Sunday 9 November 2025 at Miami. The model has generated 12 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 23 meetings on record
Buffalo Bills 18–5 across the last 23 meetings · these games average 51.4 points (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
9 Nov 2025Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins30–13Miami Dolphins
18 Sep 2025Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills31–21Buffalo Bills
3 Nov 2024Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills30–27Buffalo Bills
12 Sep 2024Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins10–31Buffalo Bills
7 Jan 2024Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins14–21Buffalo Bills
1 Oct 2023Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills48–20Buffalo Bills
15 Jan 2023Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills34–31Buffalo Bills
17 Dec 2022Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills32–29Buffalo Bills
25 Sep 2022Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins21–19Miami Dolphins
31 Oct 2021Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills26–11Buffalo Bills

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 23 meetings on file.

Playing fantasy? NFL fantasy projections for this week — the same model, scored your way.

Today's selected board

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