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Model picks & player props
NFL
Miami
Sun 9 Nov 2025, 1:00 PM ET
Buffalo Bills
VS
Miami Dolphins

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 3 markets for Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins and backs Buffalo Bills -8.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $195.

3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Buffalo Bills
to win by 9+ points
Buffalo Bills -8.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$19.52Best price-105
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win70.6%
The price says51.3%

The model graded 3 markets for Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Nov 2025, 1:00 PM ET at Miami.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Buffalo Bills -8.5 High71% chance -105
Spread Members only High71% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot31% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins last met on Sun 9 Nov 2025. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Buffalo Bills
-9.5
-105
+ 2 more markets
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All 3 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,095+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Buffalo BillsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Buffalo BillsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Buffalo Bills

  • DJ Moore WRQuestionable
  • Joshua Palmer WRQuestionable
  • Christian Benford CBQuestionable
  • Dee Alford CBQuestionable
  • Ed Oliver DTQuestionable
  • Te'Cory Couch CBQuestionable

Miami Dolphins

  • Robert Beal Jr. DEOut
  • Justin Joly TEOut
  • Jaylen Wright RBQuestionable
  • Caleb Douglas WROut
  • Storm Duck CBOut
  • Kenneth Grant DTOut
  • Reese Taylor CBOut
  • Jackson Woodard LBQuestionable
Availability updated Oct 10, 4:58PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins: Outdoors with 3 mph wind, 86°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfacenatural grass
Wind3 mph
Temperature86°F
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMiami Dolphins to winNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadBuffalo Bills spreadNo line posted

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsBills @ DolphinsNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins — recent results

Miami Dolphins have won 0 of their last 5 games; Buffalo Bills have won 4 of their last 5.

Miami Dolphins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L10–15MINAway
L10–24KCHome
L13–35SFAway
L13–27LVAway
L12–17ATLHome
Buffalo Bills — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L26–29NEHome
W24–16LACHome
W41–31DETHome
W36–31HOUAway
W28–27PITHome

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Miami Dolphins
PlayerStatus
Robert Beal Jr. DEOUT
Justin Joly TEOUT
Jaylen Wright RBQUESTIONABLE
Caleb Douglas WROUT
Storm Duck CBOUT
Kenneth Grant DTOUT
Reese Taylor CBOUT
Jackson Woodard LBQUESTIONABLE
Buffalo Bills
PlayerStatus
DJ Moore WRQUESTIONABLE
Joshua Palmer WRQUESTIONABLE
Christian Benford CBQUESTIONABLE
Dee Alford CBQUESTIONABLE
Ed Oliver DTQUESTIONABLE
Te'Cory Couch CBQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Bills vs Dolphins, or as Dolphins vs Bills. The most recent game between them was Sunday 9 November 2025 at Miami. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins head-to-head record

Final scores · 23 meetings on record
Buffalo Bills 18–5 across the last 23 meetings · these games average 51.4 points (meetings on record since 2015)

Last meeting: Sun 9 Nov 2025, Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins: the Dolphins won 30-13.

DateGameScoreWinner
9 Nov 2025Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins30–13Miami Dolphins
18 Sep 2025Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills31–21Buffalo Bills
3 Nov 2024Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills30–27Buffalo Bills
12 Sep 2024Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins10–31Buffalo Bills
7 Jan 2024Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins14–21Buffalo Bills
1 Oct 2023Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills48–20Buffalo Bills
15 Jan 2023Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills34–31Buffalo Bills
17 Dec 2022Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills32–29Buffalo Bills
25 Sep 2022Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins21–19Miami Dolphins
31 Oct 2021Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills26–11Buffalo Bills

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 23 meetings on file.

Playing fantasy? NFL fantasy projections for this week — the same model, scored your way.

Today's selected board

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