Geelong Cats vs Carlton Blues: Jagga Smith Over 23.5 Disposals (-227)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jagga Smith is expected to have a solid game against Geelong Cats at the MCG. Carlton has been winning a lot lately, taking 8 of their last 10 matches, and they do well in contested ball situations. Smith should get plenty of chances to rack up disposals, especially since Geelong has been giving up a fair number of points and not always dominating possession.
One thing to watch out for is how closely matched the contested ball stats are, which could make things tricky. However, our numbers show that Smith has a good chance of exceeding 23.5 disposals based on his recent form and the way the teams tend to play.