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The latest Bet Better model pick for Lachlan Cowan is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 60%, for a model edge of +11.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:07PM UTC
AFL

Lachlan Cowan

Carlton

+11.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -147 (1.68)
+11.1% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Thu 9 Apr, 9:40AM
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Model Probability
70.6%
Implied Probability
59.5%
Model Edge
+11.1%
Predicted Value
16.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.6%—59.5%1.42+11.1%

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AI Analysis

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Lachlan Cowan (Carlton) Over 13.5 Disposals (-147)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to go over his disposal line, Lachlan Cowan stands out for the Carlton Blues in their clash against the Adelaide Crows at the Adelaide Oval. Looking at his recent form, Cowan has been a consistent contributor in away games, averaging 14 disposals per match over his last five outings. His ability to impact the game is evident with an average of 9.8 kicks and 4.2 handballs in those away fixtures. Moreover, facing the Crows recently, he has managed to exceed his current line, showcasing his capability against this opponent. With his knack for finding the footy and efficient ball use, hitting the over on 13.5 disposals seems like a solid play, especially with the implied probability favoring him at 59.5%. Cowan's recent performance trends also support this bet, making him a reliable option to back in this market.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
12.9avg disposals recent
Season best19
Disposals last 10avg 12.9 · hi 18 · lo 6
1217101061318181213

Lachlan Cowan has a disposals high of 19 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 13.5 Over -147 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 12.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 11.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Lachlan Cowan (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lachlan Cowan is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.1% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Adelaide Crows on Thursday 9 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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