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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lachlan Cowan is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 71%, implied 60%, edge +11.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 13, 4:33AM UTC
AFL

Lachlan Cowan

Carlton

+11.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -147 (1.68) · $100→$168
+11.1% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Thu 9 Apr, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 15°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
16.2 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.6% · the book's price implies 59.5% · gap +11.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.6%59.5%1.42+11.1%

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AI Analysis

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Lachlan Cowan (Carlton) Over 13.5 Disposals (-147)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to go over his disposal line, Lachlan Cowan stands out for the Carlton Blues in their clash against the Adelaide Crows at the Adelaide Oval. Looking at his recent form, Cowan has been a consistent contributor in away games, averaging 14 disposals per match over his last five outings. His ability to impact the game is evident with an average of 9.8 kicks and 4.2 handballs in those away fixtures. Moreover, facing the Crows recently, he has managed to exceed his current line, showcasing his capability against this opponent. With his knack for finding the footy and efficient ball use, hitting the over on 13.5 disposals seems like a solid play, especially with the implied probability favoring him at 59.5%. Cowan's recent performance trends also support this bet, making him a reliable option to back in this market.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Lachlan Cowan averaged 12.4 disposals, 0.1 goals and 3.9 marks per game across 17 games in 2024.

12.4
Disposals
0.1
Goals
3.9
Marks
2.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (7 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Lachlan Cowan recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
7 Sep 24Brisbane Lions13021
25 Aug 24St Kilda12021
18 Aug 24West Coast Eagles18044
11 Aug 24Hawthorn18073
26 Jul 24Port Adelaide13040
21 Jul 24North Melbourne6022
13 Jul 24Western Bulldogs10045
6 Jul 24GWS GIANTS10056
30 Jun 24Richmond17072
21 Jun 24Geelong Cats12128
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Lachlan Cowan (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lachlan Cowan is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.1% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Adelaide Crows on Thursday 9 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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