Geelong Cats vs Carlton Blues: Lachlan Cowan Over 13.5 Disposals (-196)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
The odds for Lachlan Cowan to have over 13.5 disposals look good, especially since our numbers give it a nice chance. The Geelong Cats have been conceding a fair amount of points lately, allowing 84.3 per match, which means Carlton might be busy moving the ball around. Cowan has a chance to rack up those disposals while playing against a Cats team that is even on contested ball.
However, there's a risk here since Geelong tends to break even on contested possessions. If they can hold their own, it might limit Cowan's chances to get those disposals. Still, with Carlton winning 8 of their last 10 games, they are feeling confident, and that could help Cowan shine on the field.