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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lachlan Cowan is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 64%, implied 77%, edge +3.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 5, 5:59AM UTC
AFL

Lachlan Cowan

Carlton

+3.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -333 (1.30) · $100→$130
+3.8% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 4 Sep, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 15°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
81 in 100
Predicted
16.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 80.8% · the book's price implies 76.9% · gap +3.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals80.8%64.0%76.9%1.56+3.8%

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AI Analysis

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Geelong Cats vs Carlton Blues: Lachlan Cowan Over 12.5 Disposals (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Lachlan Cowan to have over 12.5 disposals are looking quite solid at -333. Our numbers show he's been performing really well lately, with a typical game seeing him collecting way more than this. His recent stats show he's been getting a lot of touches and has a knack for getting involved in plays. However, there is a small risk since both teams are closely matched, which could affect his chances if the game is tight. Still, with Cowan's recent form and the way he's been playing, this bet seems like a good opportunity to grab. Just remember, no bet is guaranteed to win!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Lachlan Cowan averaged 12.4 disposals, 0.1 goals and 3.9 marks per game across 17 games in 2024.

12.4
Disposals
0.1
Goals
3.9
Marks
2.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (7 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Lachlan Cowan recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
7 Sep 24Brisbane Lions13021
25 Aug 24St Kilda12021
18 Aug 24West Coast Eagles18044
11 Aug 24Hawthorn18073
26 Jul 24Port Adelaide13040
21 Jul 24North Melbourne6022
13 Jul 24Western Bulldogs10045
6 Jul 24GWS GIANTS10056
30 Jun 24Richmond17072
21 Jun 24Geelong Cats12128
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals 12.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals 11.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals 13.5 Over -196 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending
29 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending
29 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Lachlan Cowan (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lachlan Cowan is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.8% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Geelong Cats on Friday 4 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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