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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jacob Weitering is Under 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 70%, implied 54%, edge +16.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 3, 12:33AM UTC
AFL

Jacob Weitering

Carlton

+16.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 14.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
+16.0% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 4 Sep, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
12.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.1% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap +16.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.1%—54.1%1.43+16.0%

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AI Analysis

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Geelong Cats vs Carlton Blues: Jacob Weitering Under 14.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jacob Weitering has been solid lately, but he faces a tough challenge against Geelong Cats. They are known for getting the ball inside 50 more often than most teams, which can limit the chances for defenders to rack up disposals. Our numbers show that Weitering might struggle to hit over 14.5 disposals in this matchup. Carlton has been strong, winning 8 of their last 10 games, and they control the contested ball well. However, Geelong has only conceded an average of 84 points per game, showing they can keep the pressure on. With the way both teams are playing, there's a real chance that Weitering might not reach that disposals mark today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jacob Weitering averaged 14.2 disposals, 0.0 goals and 6.5 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

14.2
Disposals
0.0
Goals
6.5
Marks
1.5
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Jacob Weitering has cleared 9.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.5100%
o10.580%
o11.580%
o13.560%
o14.540%
o16.530%
o17.530%
o18.520%
o20.50%
o21.50%
o23.50%
o24.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jacob Weitering is averaging 15.8 disposals per game over his last 5.

15.8
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (7 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Jacob Weitering recorded 12 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
7 Sep 24Brisbane Lions12070
25 Aug 24St Kilda15061
18 Aug 24West Coast Eagles15061
11 Aug 24Hawthorn14032
3 Aug 24Collingwood12071
26 Jul 24Port Adelaide16060
21 Jul 24North Melbourne14044
13 Jul 24Western Bulldogs210111
6 Jul 24GWS GIANTS13051
30 Jun 24Richmond13070
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jacob Weitering (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jacob Weitering is Under 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.0% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Geelong Cats on Friday 4 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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