Here are our NFL picks for Thursday 10 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Jordan Mason (MIN) Under 44.5 Rushing Yards, priced at -115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Jordan Mason (MIN) Under 44.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Minnesota Vikings play Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jordan Mason (MIN) Under 44.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tommy Tremble (CAR) Under 15.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Carolina Panthers play Chicago Bears in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tommy Tremble (CAR) Under 15.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dallas Goedert (PHI) Under 35.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Philadelphia Eagles play Washington Commanders in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dallas Goedert (PHI) Under 35.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Joe Burrow (CIN) Under 6.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Cincinnati Bengals play Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Joe Burrow (CIN) Under 6.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tommy Tremble (CAR) Under 14.5 Receiving Yards (-108)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Carolina Panthers play Chicago Bears in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tommy Tremble (CAR) Under 14.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tyler Warren (IND) Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Indianapolis Colts play Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tyler Warren (IND) Over 47.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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