Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
Philadelphia Phillies

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 4:35AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Outdoor
Wed 22 Jul 2026, 10:40PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Philadelphia Phillies -4.5 Spread +560

The model graded 20 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $660 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 22 Jul 2026, 10:40PM at Citizens Bank Park.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win32.9%
The price says15.2%
Best price+560
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Philadelphia Phillies -4.5 Long-shot33% chance +560
Spread Lean42% chance
Spread Long-shot35% chance
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings High66% chance
Spread Long-shot28% chance
Spread Lean50% chance
Spread Long-shot22% chance
Moneyline Lean57% chance
Total Runs Lean55% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies
-4.5
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,322+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Justin Wrobleski SPOut
  • Roki Sasaki SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Will Smith COut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Andy Pages CFOut
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Probable pitcher

Blake Snell SP

Philadelphia Phillies

  • Tanner Banks RPOut
  • Felix Reyes LFOut
  • Rafael Marchan COut
  • Caleb Kilian RPOut
  • Brad Keller RPOut
  • Johan Rojas CFOut
  • Adolis Garcia RFOut

Probable pitcher

Cristopher Sanchez SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 2:07AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylinePhiladelphia PhilliesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L52-3

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline form: last five 3-2, 2.8 runs/gm.

Run LinePhiladelphia Phillies run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L52-3

Philadelphia Phillies spread form: last five 3-2, 2.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

Philadelphia Phillies total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsPhiladelphia Phillies team totalNo line posted
1.7runs we expect
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L52-3

Philadelphia Phillies team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.8 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies — recent results

Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Dodgers have won 1 of their last 5.

Philadelphia Phillies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3LAAAway
L1–4SEAAway
W6–0SEAAway
L2–9SEAAway
W6–4STLHome
Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2DETAway
W2–1DETAway
L0–1ATLAway
L5–6ATLAway
L3–4ATLAway

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.6 runs per game (3-2) while Los Angeles Dodgers are at 5.6 (4-1); Philadelphia Phillies pitchers are allowing 2.0 earned runs per game versus 3.2 for Los Angeles Dodgers.

4.6
Philadelphia Phillies runs/G
5.6
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
Last 5 gamesPhiladelphia PhilliesLos Angeles Dodgers
Runs / game4.65.6
Hits / game5.86.4
Home runs / game1.40.6
Walks drawn / game2.45.0
Batter K / game5.84.6
Earned runs allowed / game2.03.2
Pitching K / game2.65.4
Walks allowed / game3.62.2
L5 record3-24-1

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Philadelphia Phillies won 2, Los Angeles Dodgers won 4.

DatePhiladelphia PhilliesLos Angeles DodgersWinner
Jul 2259Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 2112Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 20107Philadelphia Phillies
May 3143Philadelphia Phillies
May 3119Los Angeles Dodgers
May 3024Los Angeles Dodgers

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Philadelphia Phillies
PlayerStatus
Tanner Banks RPOUT
Felix Reyes LFOUT
Rafael Marchan COUT
Caleb Kilian RPOUT
Brad Keller RPOUT
Johan Rojas CFOUT
Adolis Garcia RFOUT
Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Justin Wrobleski SPOUT
Roki Sasaki SPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Will Smith COUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Andy Pages CFOUT
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Philadelphia Phillies playing Los Angeles Dodgers. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers stats and odds.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers : Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5 (+200)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Dodgers roll into Philadelphia, they’re riding a wave of offensive momentum that’s tough to ignore. Over their last ten games, they've been a juggernaut, averaging over six runs per outing while hitting an impressive .285 as a team. The power bats are alive, and with Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman leading the charge, they can capitalize on any mistakes from the Phillies’ pitching staff. Speaking of pitching, the Dodgers' starter has been lights-out, boasting an ERA under 3.00 over his last five starts. This contrasts sharply with the Phillies’ rotation, which has struggled to find consistency and keep runs off the board. Add in the Dodgers’ solid track record against left-handed pitching, coupled with the Phillies’ recent home struggles, and the -2.5 run line looks more appealing than ever. Expect L.A. to flex their muscles and win convincingly in this matchup.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
22 Jul 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5 ✓ HIT
22 Jul 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers -3.5 ✓ HIT
22 Jul 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
22 Jul 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 ✓ HIT
22 Jul 26 Moneyline Los Angeles Dodgers ✓ HIT
22 Jul 26 Total Runs Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
22 Jul 26 Total Runs Over 11.5 ✓ HIT
22 Jul 26 Total Runs Over 10.5 ✓ HIT
22 Jul 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 ✓ HIT
22 Jul 26 Total Runs Over 12.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Phillies, or as Phillies vs Dodgers. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 22 July 2026 at Citizens Bank Park. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 28 meetings on record
Even at 14–14 across the last 28 meetings · these games average 9.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
22 Jul 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies5–9Los Angeles Dodgers
21 Jul 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies1–2Los Angeles Dodgers
20 Jul 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies10–7Philadelphia Phillies
31 May 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–4Philadelphia Phillies
30 May 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–2Los Angeles Dodgers
29 May 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–2Los Angeles Dodgers
9 Oct 2025Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–1Los Angeles Dodgers
8 Oct 2025Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–8Philadelphia Phillies
6 Oct 2025Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies3–4Los Angeles Dodgers
4 Oct 2025Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies3–5Los Angeles Dodgers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 28 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.