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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bryson Stott is Over 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 36 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 36%, the price says 14%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 9 of the last 10
Under 1.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 SBlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 21, 12:37AM UTC
MLB

Bryson Stott

PHI

Value call

Bryson Stott has one live pick today: Batter - Stolen Bases Over 0.5 that pays $730 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Over 0.5 +630 (7.30) · $100→$730
Value call
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Sun 20 Sep, 5:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 164 of 342 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
36 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Batter - Stolen Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 36.2% · the book's price implies 13.7% · gap +22.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases36.2%13.7%2.76+22.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/3
Last 10 games0/3

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AI Analysis

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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Bryson Stott Over 0.5 Batter - Stolen Bases (+630)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Tonight at Citi Field, Bryson Stott from the Philadelphia Phillies has a solid chance to steal a base against the New York Mets. The Mets have been pretty good lately, winning 6 out of their last 10 games. However, they've also allowed runs more often than the league average, which might give Stott some chances to take an extra base. Plus, with the wind blowing out toward the outfield, the game feels like it could have a lively pace. Stott has been showing good form, averaging only 0.3 strikeouts per game lately, meaning he's making contact and getting on base. The Mets' pitcher has let in runs at a rate of about 3.1 per nine innings, which is better than average but still leaves room for Stott to make a move. Just remember, while he has a real shot to steal a base, nothing is guaranteed.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Bryson Stott is averaging 1.8 hits, 0.2 home runs and 1.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.8
Hits
0.2
HR
1.4
RBI
0.8
Runs
0.2
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Bryson Stott has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 0% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.50%
o1.50%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Bryson Stott is averaging 1.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.2 in away games, including his recent form against LAD.

1.8
Hits · Overall
1.2
Hits · Away
0.8
Hits · vs LAD
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs LAD
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -213 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -213 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Walks Pending
18 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Walks Pending
18 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Stolen Bases Pending

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About This Player

Bryson Stott (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bryson Stott is Over 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.5% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets on Sunday 20 September at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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