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The latest Bet Better model pick for Bryson Stott is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +13.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:04PM UTC
MLB

Bryson Stott

PHI

+13.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -182 (1.55)
+13.4% Edge
New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 16 Jul, 11:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.9%
Implied Probability
64.5%
Model Edge
+13.4%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases77.9%—64.5%1.28+13.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Bryson Stott (PHI) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-182)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies face the Mets on July 16, all eyes will be on Bryson Stott, but betting the under on his total bases feels more prudent. Stott has been a solid player, yet he’s recently struggled against left-handed pitching, and today he’ll be up against Mets’ ace David Peterson. Peterson has been particularly tough on lefties, holding them to a mere .220 average this season, which bodes well for the Mets’ chances of containing Stott. Moreover, the Phillies have found themselves in a bit of a slump, scoring just 3.5 runs per game over their last week, and with Peterson on the mound, it’s hard to see them breaking out in a big way. The under on Stott’s total bases seems like a smart play, especially considering he's projected to land around 0.88 total bases. With the odds favoring a quiet night for the young infielder, betting the under offers a sound strategy.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Bryson Stott MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg walks · L5

Bryson Stott MLB walks: averaging 0.2 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Jul 26 New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -182 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Bryson Stott (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bryson Stott is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.4% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 16 July at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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