On September 21, 2026 our model has run Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Brandon Marsh (PHI) Under 0.5 RBIs (-323), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.
Bo Bichette (TOR) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+185)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
New York Mets play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Bo Bichette (TOR) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+185). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $28.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Brandon Marsh (PHI) Under 0.5 RBIs (-323)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New York Mets play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Brandon Marsh (PHI) Under 0.5 RBIs (-323). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -323 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Carson Benge (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-217)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
New York Mets play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Carson Benge (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-217). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -217 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.61 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Over 9.5 Total Runs (+196)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New York Mets play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Over 9.5 Total Runs (+196). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at +196 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $29.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: New York Mets -0.5 (+188)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New York Mets play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: New York Mets -0.5 (+188). That is a alternate spreads 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at +188 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $28.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Over 4.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (+120)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New York Mets play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Over 4.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (+120). That is a alternate totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at +120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.