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Model picks & player props
Philadelphia Phillies
VS
Washington Nationals

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 2:36PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Nationals Park, Washington
Outdoor
Tue 23 Jun 2026, 10:45PM
0
Game markets graded
16
Props graded

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Player props & full board
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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia Phillies

  • Caleb Kilian RPDay-to-day
  • Derek Hill CFDay-to-day
  • Brad Keller RPOut
  • Tanner Banks RPOut
  • Rafael Marchan COut
  • Johan Rojas CFOut
  • Adolis Garcia RFOut

Probable pitcher

Jesus Luzardo SP

Washington Nationals

  • Richard Lovelady RPOut
  • Josiah Gray SPOut
  • Connelly Early SPOut
  • DJ Herz SPOut
  • James Wood RFOut
  • PJ Poulin RPOut
  • Mitchell Parker RPOut
  • Drew Millas COut
  • Ken Waldichuk RPOut

Probable pitcher

Brad Lord SP
Availability updated Aug 9, 9:36PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Alec Bohm PHI Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Trea Turner WSN Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Zack Littell WSN Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Brandon Marsh Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Bryce Harper PHI Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals — what the model found

Our model graded 16 betting markets for Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals — 0 on the game itself and 16 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

16
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 16 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals — recent results

Washington Nationals have won 4 of their last 5 games; Philadelphia Phillies have won 2 of their last 5.

Washington Nationals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–1CINHome
W8–2CINHome
W5–3CINHome
L3–7PHIAway
W10–4PHIAway
Philadelphia Phillies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–6TORHome
L5–7TORHome
L4–5TORHome
W7–3WSHHome
L4–10WSHHome

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Washington Nationals won 2, Philadelphia Phillies won 6.

DateWashington NationalsPhiladelphia PhilliesWinner
Aug 637Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 5104Washington Nationals
Aug 405Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 336Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 25510Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 2445Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 23914Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 2241Washington Nationals

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Washington Nationals
PlayerStatus
Richard Lovelady RPOUT
Josiah Gray SPOUT
Connelly Early SPOUT
DJ Herz SPOUT
James Wood RFOUT
PJ Poulin RPOUT
Mitchell Parker RPOUT
Drew Millas COUT
Philadelphia Phillies
PlayerStatus
Caleb Kilian RPDAY-TO-DAY
Derek Hill CFDAY-TO-DAY
Brad Keller RPOUT
Tanner Banks RPOUT
Rafael Marchan COUT
Johan Rojas CFOUT
Adolis Garcia RFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Washington Nationals playing Philadelphia Phillies. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies stats and odds.

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies : Philadelphia Phillies -3 (+181)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Phillies vs Nationals, or as Nationals vs Phillies. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 23 June 2026 at Nationals Park. The model has generated 16 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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