Bryce Harper (PHI) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-161)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Phillies square off against the Braves, Bryce Harper's recent form raises some eyebrows for those considering the 'Under 1.5' total bases. Harper has been held in check lately, not just by opposing pitchers but also by the Braves' formidable bullpen, which has been stingy on extra-base hits. In the last week, he’s posted a modest .220 average against right-handers, and with Atlanta sending a sharp pitcher to the mound, it could spell trouble for his power production.
Moreover, Harper's tendency to chase breaking balls has been exploited, leading to weaker contact. Combine that with the fact that the Braves' pitching staff has a stellar strikeout rate, and it’s easy to see why this matchup might not favor him. With an implied probability suggesting a strong likelihood of him failing to clear that total, taking the 'Under' feels like a savvy play in this matchup.