Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bryce Harper is Under 2.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On the Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 79%, versus the book's implied 60%, for a model edge of +18.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 5, 2:16PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Under 2.5
-149 (1.67)
+18.7% Edge
Washington Nationals
@
Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug, 10:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
59.9%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs | 78.6% | — | 59.9% | 1.27 | +18.7% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/10 |
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Bryce Harper (PHI) Under 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-149)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play Washington Nationals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Bryce Harper (PHI) Under 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-149). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.71 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
6 markets liveBatter - Total BasesUpcoming vs WSNU 1.5 -125 Game log vs U 1.51 / 6 hit
Bryce Harper MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs WSN. Current line U 1.5 at -125.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming vs WSNU 2.5 -149 Game log vs U 2.51 / 3 hit
Bryce Harper MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs WSN. Current line U 2.5 at -149.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs WSNU 0.5 -161 Game log vs U 0.51 / 3 hit
Bryce Harper MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs WSN. Current line U 0.5 at -161.
Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs WSNU 0.5 -101 Bryce Harper MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs WSN. Current line U 0.5 at -101.
Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs WSNU 0.5 -625 Bryce Harper MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs WSN. Current line U 0.5 at -625.
Batter - WalksUpcoming vs WSNU 2.5 -714 Game log vs U 2.53 / 3 hit
Bryce Harper MLB walks: cleared under 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs WSN. Current line U 2.5 at -714.
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 0 · hi 0 · lo 0
Bryce Harper MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted Bryce Harper MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Bryce Harper MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 04 Aug 26 |
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies |
Batter - Doubles |
0.5 |
Under |
-476 |
✓ HIT |
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Bryce Harper (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bryce Harper is Under 2.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.7% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday 5 August at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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