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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bryce Harper is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 90%, versus the book's implied 83%, for a model edge of +7.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 3:51PM UTC
MLB

Bryce Harper

PHI

+7.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 -476 (1.21)
+7.1% Edge
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 10:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
89.7%
Implied Probability
82.6%
Model Edge
+7.1%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles89.7%82.6%1.11+7.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Bryce Harper (PHI) Under 0.5 Doubles (-476)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Philadelphia Phillies play Washington Nationals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Bryce Harper (PHI) Under 0.5 Doubles (-476). That is a Doubles bet. It was priced at -476 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

6 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming vs WSNU 1.5 -222
100%hit L10
Streak16L2090%
U 0.5100%
U 1.5100%
Game log vs U 1.53 / 3 hit
000

Bryce Harper MLB hits: cleared under 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs WSN. Current line U 1.5 at -222.

Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs WSNU 1.5 -110
100%hit L10
Streak3
Game log vs U 1.52 / 7 hit
2434400

Bryce Harper MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs WSN. Current line U 1.5 at -110.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming vs WSNU 2.5 -143
100%hit L10
Streak3
U 0.560%
U 1.5100%
U 2.5100%
Game log vs U 2.52 / 4 hit
3410

Bryce Harper MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs WSN. Current line U 2.5 at -143.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs WSNU 0.5 -164
100%hit L10
Streak3
Game log vs U 0.52 / 4 hit
1200

Bryce Harper MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs WSN. Current line U 0.5 at -164.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming vs WSNU 0.5 -108
100%hit L10
Streak3
Game log vs U 0.53 / 3 hit
000

Bryce Harper MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs WSN. Current line U 0.5 at -108.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs WSNU 0.5 -476
100%hit L10
Streak3
Game log vs U 0.53 / 3 hit
000

Bryce Harper MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs WSN. Current line U 0.5 at -476.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%

Bryce Harper MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%
O 1.533%

Bryce Harper MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Aug 26 Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -625 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Bryce Harper (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bryce Harper is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.1% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 6 August at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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