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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Philadelphia Phillies

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 70 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies and backs Philadelphia Phillies -4 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $412.

MLB
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 5:35PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Philadelphia Phillies -4 Spread +312

The model graded 70 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $412 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 5:35PM at Citizens Bank Park.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win16.7%
The price says23.7%
Best price+312
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Philadelphia Phillies -4 Long-shot17% chance +312
Spread Members only Long-shot29% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot18% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot16% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot28% chance Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 80% Members
Batter - Singles × 5 props Highup to 68% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 5 props Highup to 69% Members
Batter - Walks × 5 props Highup to 87% Members
Batter - Hits × 4 props Highup to 71% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 7 props Highup to 63% Members
Batter - RBIs × 8 props Highup to 77% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 6 props Highup to 68% Members
Batter - Doubles × 7 props Highup to 87% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

St. Louis Cardinals and Philadelphia Phillies last met on Sun 23 Aug 2026: Philadelphia Phillies won 6-4. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies
-3
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 62,694+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Richard Fitts SPDay-to-day
  • Masyn Winn SSOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Joshua Baez LFOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Philadelphia Phillies

  • Caleb Kilian RPOut
  • Felix Reyes LFOut
  • Brad Keller RPOut
  • Johan Rojas CFOut
  • Adolis Garcia RFOut
Availability updated Sep 29, 4:13PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Kyle Leahy Pitcher - Walks
Bryce Harper PHI Batter - Singles
Jordan Walker STL Batter - Singles
Kyle Schwarber PHI Batter - Runs Scored
Kyle Schwarber PHI Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylinePhiladelphia PhilliesNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.4L5 RA5.4Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L52-3

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline form: last five 1-4, 2.4 runs/gm.

Run LinePhiladelphia Phillies run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.4L5 RA5.4Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L52-3

Philadelphia Phillies spread form: last five 1-4, 2.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Philadelphia Phillies total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsPhiladelphia Phillies team totalNo line posted
2.8runs we expect
L5 RF2.4L5 RA5.4Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L52-3

Philadelphia Phillies team total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.4 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies — recent results

Philadelphia Phillies have won 2 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5.

Philadelphia Phillies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–6ATLAway
W4–3ATLAway
L3–5ATLAway
W7–3TBHome
L1–12TBHome
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6MILAway
L2–3MILAway
L4–8MILAway
L1–2PITAway
W5–1PITAway

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 3.0 runs per game (4-1) while St. Louis Cardinals are at 2.6 (3-2); Philadelphia Phillies pitchers are allowing 0.6 earned runs per game versus 2.8 for St. Louis Cardinals.

3.0
Philadelphia Phillies runs/G
2.6
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
Last 5 gamesPhiladelphia PhilliesSt. Louis Cardinals
Runs / game3.02.6
Hits / game4.22.4
Home runs / game0.00.4
Walks drawn / game0.81.6
Batter K / game1.82.4
Earned runs allowed / game0.62.8
Pitching K / game3.22.8
Walks allowed / game0.41.2
L5 record4-13-2

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Philadelphia Phillies won 4, St. Louis Cardinals won 2.

DatePhiladelphia PhilliesSt. Louis CardinalsWinner
Aug 2364Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 22123Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 2176Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 1217St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 1102St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 1065Philadelphia Phillies

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Philadelphia Phillies
PlayerStatus
Caleb Kilian RPOUT
Felix Reyes LFOUT
Brad Keller RPOUT
Johan Rojas CFOUT
Adolis Garcia RFOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Richard Fitts SPDAY-TO-DAY
Masyn Winn SSOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Joshua Baez LFOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies — model preview

Our St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies prediction for August 24, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 24, 2026 our model has run St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jordan Walker (STL) Under 0.5 RBIs (-323), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Phillies, or as Phillies vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 August 2026 at Citizens Bank Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies head-to-head record

Final scores · 23 meetings on record
Philadelphia Phillies 14–9 across the last 23 meetings · these games average 8.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 23 Aug 2026, St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies: the Phillies won 6-4.

DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies6–4Philadelphia Phillies
22 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies12–3Philadelphia Phillies
21 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies7–6Philadelphia Phillies
12 Aug 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals7–1St. Louis Cardinals
11 Aug 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals2–0St. Louis Cardinals
10 Aug 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals5–6Philadelphia Phillies
14 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies7–14St. Louis Cardinals
12 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies2–3St. Louis Cardinals
13 Apr 2025Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals7–0St. Louis Cardinals
12 Apr 2025Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals1–4Philadelphia Phillies

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 23 meetings on file.

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