On August 21, 2026 our model has run St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Alec Burleson (STL) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-227), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-169)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-169). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -169 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.92 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Luis Arraez (MIN) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-164)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luis Arraez (MIN) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-164). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Alec Burleson (STL) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-227)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Alec Burleson (STL) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-227). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals: Over 9 Total Runs (+129)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals: Over 9 Total Runs (+129). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at +129 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals: Over 10 Total Runs (+185)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals: Over 10 Total Runs (+185). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at +185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $28.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals: Over 10.5 Total Runs (+220)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals: Over 10.5 Total Runs (+220). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at +220 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $32 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.