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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Philadelphia Phillies

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 5:47PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 5:35PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Philadelphia Phillies -3.5 Spread +240

The model graded 70 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $340 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 5:35PM at Citizens Bank Park.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win20.6%
The price says29.1%
Best price+240
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Philadelphia Phillies -3.5 Long-shot21% chance +240
Total Runs Long-shot4% chance
Spread Long-shot9% chance
Spread Long-shot29% chance
Spread Long-shot25% chance
Spread Long-shot4% chance
Total Runs Long-shot18% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot22% chance
Spread Long-shot39% chance
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 80%
Batter - Singles × 5 props Highup to 68%
Batter - Runs Scored × 5 props Highup to 69%
Batter - Walks × 5 props Highup to 87%
Batter - Hits × 4 props Highup to 71%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

St. Louis Cardinals and Philadelphia Phillies last met on Sun 23 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Philadelphia Phillies -3.5 · $100 returned $530

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 25 of 137 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 9
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $563
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies
-3.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Masyn Winn SSDay-to-day
  • Peter Strzelecki RPOut
  • JJ Wetherholt 2BOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Andre Pallante SP

Philadelphia Phillies

  • Tanner Banks RPOut
  • Felix Reyes LFOut
  • Caleb Kilian RPOut
  • Brad Keller RPOut
  • Johan Rojas CFOut
  • Adolis Garcia RFOut

Probable pitcher

Cristopher Sanchez SP
Availability updated Sep 10, 2:39PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Kyle Leahy Pitcher - Walks
Bryce Harper PHI Batter - Singles
Jordan Walker STL Batter - Singles
Kyle Schwarber PHI Batter - Runs Scored
Kyle Schwarber PHI Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylinePhiladelphia PhilliesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.0Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L50-5

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Run LinePhiladelphia Phillies run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.0Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L50-5

Philadelphia Phillies spread form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Philadelphia Phillies total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsPhiladelphia Phillies team totalNo line posted
2.3runs we expect
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.0Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L50-5

Philadelphia Phillies team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies — recent results

Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5.

Philadelphia Phillies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W11–7HOUHome
L5–6HOUHome
W1–0ATLHome
L4–5ATLHome
W4–2ATLHome
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2SFAway
L6–7SFAway
L4–5SFAway
L7–10COLAway
W10–8COLAway

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 3.0 runs per game (4-1) while St. Louis Cardinals are at 2.6 (3-2); Philadelphia Phillies pitchers are allowing 0.6 earned runs per game versus 2.8 for St. Louis Cardinals.

3.0
Philadelphia Phillies runs/G
2.6
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
Last 5 gamesPhiladelphia PhilliesSt. Louis Cardinals
Runs / game3.02.6
Hits / game4.22.4
Home runs / game0.00.4
Walks drawn / game0.81.6
Batter K / game1.82.4
Earned runs allowed / game0.62.8
Pitching K / game3.22.8
Walks allowed / game0.41.2
L5 record4-13-2

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Philadelphia Phillies won 4, St. Louis Cardinals won 2.

DatePhiladelphia PhilliesSt. Louis CardinalsWinner
Aug 2364Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 22123Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 2176Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 1217St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 1102St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 1065Philadelphia Phillies

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Philadelphia Phillies
PlayerStatus
Tanner Banks RPOUT
Felix Reyes LFOUT
Caleb Kilian RPOUT
Brad Keller RPOUT
Johan Rojas CFOUT
Adolis Garcia RFOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Masyn Winn SSDAY-TO-DAY
Peter Strzelecki RPOUT
JJ Wetherholt 2BOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies — model preview

Our St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies prediction for August 24, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 24, 2026 our model has run St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jordan Walker (STL) Under 0.5 RBIs (-323), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
23 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 9 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 8 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 8.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 7 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Phillies, or as Phillies vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 August 2026 at Citizens Bank Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 23 meetings on record
Philadelphia Phillies 14–9 across the last 23 meetings · these games average 8.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies6–4Philadelphia Phillies
22 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies12–3Philadelphia Phillies
21 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies7–6Philadelphia Phillies
12 Aug 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals7–1St. Louis Cardinals
11 Aug 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals2–0St. Louis Cardinals
10 Aug 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals5–6Philadelphia Phillies
14 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies7–14St. Louis Cardinals
12 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies2–3St. Louis Cardinals
13 Apr 2025Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals7–0St. Louis Cardinals
12 Apr 2025Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals1–4Philadelphia Phillies

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 23 meetings on file.

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