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MLB

Edmundo Sosa

MLB

+9.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -185 (1.54)
+9.6% Edge
Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Fri 17 Apr, 10:40PM
Model Probability
74.5%
Implied Probability
64.9%
Model Edge
+9.6%
Predicted Value
—

AI Analysis

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Edmundo Sosa (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies face off against the Braves this Friday, all eyes will be on Edmundo Sosa. Despite flashes of brilliance, his recent form suggests a tough night ahead. Sosa’s bat has been inconsistent, with a batting average dipping below .220 in his last 10 games. Facing Braves starter Max Fried—who boasts a stingy 2.80 ERA and has held opponents to a .230 average this season—Sosa might find himself struggling to find gaps. Moreover, the Braves’ defense has been nothing short of stellar, ranking in the top tier for fielding efficiency, making it even harder for hitters to rack up total bases. Add in the fact that Sosa's average is just 0.6 expected total bases according to the models, and it paints a clear picture: the under on 1.5 total bases feels like the right call as we anticipate a challenging evening for him at the plate.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 100.0% (2/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Total Bases 2.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Edmundo Sosa is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (2/2). The latest model pick for Edmundo Sosa is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.6% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies on Friday 17 April at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.