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The latest Bet Better model pick for Edmundo Sosa is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +9.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 27, 4:18AM UTC
MLB

Edmundo Sosa

MLB

+9.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -185 (1.54)
+9.6% Edge
Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Fri 17 Apr, 10:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
74.5%
Implied Probability
64.9%
Model Edge
+9.6%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases74.5%—64.9%1.34+9.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Edmundo Sosa (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies face off against the Braves this Friday, all eyes will be on Edmundo Sosa. Despite flashes of brilliance, his recent form suggests a tough night ahead. Sosa’s bat has been inconsistent, with a batting average dipping below .220 in his last 10 games. Facing Braves starter Max Fried—who boasts a stingy 2.80 ERA and has held opponents to a .230 average this season—Sosa might find himself struggling to find gaps. Moreover, the Braves’ defense has been nothing short of stellar, ranking in the top tier for fielding efficiency, making it even harder for hitters to rack up total bases. Add in the fact that Sosa's average is just 0.6 expected total bases according to the models, and it paints a clear picture: the under on 1.5 total bases feels like the right call as we anticipate a challenging evening for him at the plate.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
O 0.580%

Edmundo Sosa MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.540%

Edmundo Sosa MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
O 0.580%
O 1.540%
O 2.540%

Edmundo Sosa MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Edmundo Sosa MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%

Edmundo Sosa MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Edmundo Sosa MLB walksseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Edmundo Sosa is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Edmundo Sosa is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.6% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies on Friday 17 April at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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