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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kyle Schwarber is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 52%, implied 44%, edge +7.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 4.50 total baseslanded 10 of the last 10
Under 2.50 total baseslanded 9 of the last 10
Under 3.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 17, 2:21AM UTC
MLB

Kyle Schwarber

PHI

+7.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Over 1.5 +125 (2.25) · $100→$225
+7.9% Edge
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Thu 17 Sep, 11:15PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
2.3 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 52.3% · the book's price implies 44.4% · gap +7.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases52.3%—44.4%1.91+7.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (+125)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Kyle Schwarber has been a solid performer this season, especially against left-handed pitchers. He averages over three combined hits, runs, and RBIs at Citizens Bank Park, showing he can be a big contributor in games like this. The Mets are starting a lefty, which is a good matchup for Schwarber, as he's been hitting well against left-handers all year. While both teams have had ups and downs lately, the Mets have won six of their last ten games, so they're showing some good form. The risk here is that the Mets are still better at home than their record suggests, and Schwarber's success can be affected by the overall performance of the team. Still, with his track record, betting over 1.5 total bases for him feels promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Kyle Schwarber's lines for Thu 17 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Total Bases 1.5
How many home runs does Kyle Schwarber hit?

Kyle Schwarber's batter total bases line is 1.5.

Batter Singles 0.5
How many home runs does Kyle Schwarber hit?

Kyle Schwarber's batter singles line is 0.5.

Batter Runs Scored 1.5
How many home runs does Kyle Schwarber hit?

Kyle Schwarber's batter runs scored line is 1.5.

Batter Hits 0.5
How many home runs does Kyle Schwarber hit?

Kyle Schwarber's batter hits line is 0.5.

Batter RBIs 1.5
How many home runs does Kyle Schwarber hit?

Kyle Schwarber's batter rbis line is 1.5.

Batter RBIs 0.5
How many home runs does Kyle Schwarber hit?

Kyle Schwarber's batter rbis line is 0.5.

Batter Home Runs 1.5
How many home runs does Kyle Schwarber hit?

Kyle Schwarber's batter home runs line is 1.5.

Batter Home Runs 0.5
How many home runs does Kyle Schwarber hit?

Kyle Schwarber's batter home runs line is 0.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Kyle Schwarber is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.2
HR
0.4
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.8
Walks
0.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Kyle Schwarber has gone over 1.5 total bases in 20% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.520%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Kyle Schwarber is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in away games, including his recent form against LAD.

0.8
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Away
1.4
Hits · vs LAD
0.2
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.8
HR · vs LAD
Quick answers:How many home runs does Kyle Schwarber hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kyle Schwarber is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.9% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets on Thursday 17 September at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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