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Model picks & player props
MLB
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Outdoor
Sun 2 Aug 2026, 1:36 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies
VS
Baltimore Orioles

Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 24 markets for Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles and backs Baltimore Orioles hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $228.

20
Game markets graded
4
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Baltimore Orioles
to win
Baltimore Orioles Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$22.80Best price+128
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win73.3%
The price says43.9%

The model graded 24 markets for Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $228 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 2 Aug 2026, 1:36 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Baltimore Orioles High73% chance +128
Spread Members only High76% chance Members
Total Runs Members only High73% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Members only High63% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot31% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot33% chance Members
Batter - Hits × 1 prop Highup to 82% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 3 props Highup to 71% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Philadelphia Phillies and Baltimore Orioles last met on Sun 2 Aug 2026: Philadelphia Phillies won 8-0. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 4 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,041+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Baltimore OriolesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia Phillies

  • Caleb Kilian RPOut
  • Felix Reyes LFOut
  • Brad Keller RPOut
  • Johan Rojas CFOut
  • Adolis Garcia RFOut

Baltimore Orioles

  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
  • Kyle Bradish SPOut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Tyler O'Neill RFOut
  • Samuel Basallo COut
  • Jackson Holliday 2BOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Luis Robert Jr. CFOut
  • Reed Trimble LFDay-to-day
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Cameron Foster RPDay-to-day
  • Zach Eflin SPOut
Availability updated Sep 28, 5:31PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Trea Turner Batter - Hits
Bryce Harper PHI Batter - Total Bases
Alec Bohm PHI Batter - Total Bases
Brandon Marsh LAA Batter - Total Bases

+ 4 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBaltimore OriolesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Philadelphia Phillies L52-3

Baltimore Orioles moneyline form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Run LineBaltimore Orioles run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Philadelphia Phillies L52-3

Baltimore Orioles spread form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia PhilliesNo line posted

Baltimore Orioles total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBaltimore Orioles team totalNo line posted
5.2runs we expect
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Philadelphia Phillies L52-3

Baltimore Orioles team total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles — what the model found

Our model graded 24 betting markets for Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles — 20 on the game itself and 4 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
4
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 24 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 23 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles — recent results

Baltimore Orioles have won 4 of their last 5 games; Philadelphia Phillies have won 2 of their last 5.

Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–6NYYAway
W10–2NYYAway
W4–2TORHome
W4–2TORHome
W4–3TORHome
Philadelphia Phillies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–6ATLAway
W4–3ATLAway
L3–5ATLAway
W7–3TBHome
L1–12TBHome

Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Baltimore Orioles are scoring 3.6 runs per game (3-2) while Philadelphia Phillies are at 4.4 (4-1); Baltimore Orioles pitchers are allowing 3.4 earned runs per game versus 1.6 for Philadelphia Phillies.

3.6
Baltimore Orioles runs/G
4.4
Philadelphia Phillies runs/G
Last 5 gamesBaltimore OriolesPhiladelphia Phillies
Runs / game3.64.4
Hits / game3.85.2
Home runs / game0.20.6
Walks drawn / game2.82.2
Batter K / game3.84.4
Earned runs allowed / game3.41.6
Pitching K / game4.43.8
Walks allowed / game2.83.0
L5 record3-24-1

Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Baltimore Orioles won 2, Philadelphia Phillies won 3.

DateBaltimore OriolesPhiladelphia PhilliesWinner
Aug 208Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 105Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 3164Baltimore Orioles
Mar 21108Baltimore Orioles
Mar 13811Philadelphia Phillies

Who’s out or in doubt

19 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Jordan Westburg 3BOUT
Kyle Bradish SPOUT
Blaze Alexander 3BOUT
Tyler O'Neill RFOUT
Samuel Basallo COUT
Jackson Holliday 2BOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Philadelphia Phillies
PlayerStatus
Caleb Kilian RPOUT
Felix Reyes LFOUT
Brad Keller RPOUT
Johan Rojas CFOUT
Adolis Garcia RFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles — model preview

Our Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles prediction for August 3, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 3, 2026 our model has run Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies: Under 10.5 Total Runs (-104), which we rate LEAN confidence. We walk through all 1 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Phillies vs Orioles, or as Orioles vs Phillies. The most recent game between them was Sunday 2 August 2026 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The model has generated 20 game picks and 4 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles head-to-head record

Final scores · 24 meetings on record
Philadelphia Phillies 13–11 across the last 24 meetings · these games average 10.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 2 Aug 2026, Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles: the Phillies won 8-0.

DateGameScoreWinner
2 Aug 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles0–8Philadelphia Phillies
1 Aug 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles0–5Philadelphia Phillies
31 Jul 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles6–4Baltimore Orioles
21 Mar 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles10–8Baltimore Orioles
13 Mar 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies11–8Philadelphia Phillies
6 Aug 2025Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies1–5Baltimore Orioles
5 Aug 2025Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies5–0Philadelphia Phillies
4 Aug 2025Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies13–3Philadelphia Phillies
16 Mar 2025Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles1–12Philadelphia Phillies
9 Mar 2025Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies12–2Philadelphia Phillies

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 24 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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