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The latest Bet Better model pick for Johan Rojas is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 90 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 90%, implied 88%, edge +2.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 5:21PM UTC
MLB

Johan Rojas

PHI

+2.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -714 (1.14) · $100→$114
+2.1% Edge
Los Angeles Angels @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Sat 19 Jul, 10:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Rojas (suspension) underwent surgery Friday to repair the UCL in his right elbow and will face an expected recovery timeline of 6-to-8 months, Scott Lauber of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
updated Jun 25, 7:25PM UTC · 65d old
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
90 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 89.8% · the book's price implies 87.7% · gap +2.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases89.8%—87.7%1.11+2.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Johan Rojas (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Johan Rojas for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is supported by his recent performance data. Rojas' last five games show a batting stolen bases average (SB Avg) of 0.2 overall and 0.4 at home, both of which are under the line of 0.5. Furthermore, when playing against the Los Angeles Angels, his stolen base average drops to zero. This suggests that Rojas is less likely to steal bases when facing this particular team. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, do not significantly influence his ability to steal bases. In addition, the average number of times he's been caught stealing (Avg Cs) is low, indicating that he doesn't often attempt to steal bases. Therefore, the data suggests that Rojas is unlikely to exceed the 0.5 stolen bases line in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Johan Rojas is averaging 1.4 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.6 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.4
Hits
0.0
HR
0.6
RBI
0.8
Runs
0.0
Walks
1.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Johan Rojas has gone over 1.5 total bases in 30% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.530%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Johan Rojas is averaging 1.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.4 in home games, including his recent form against LAA.

1.4
Hits · Overall
1.4
Hits · Home
0.4
Hits · vs LAA
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
0.2
HR · vs LAA
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Johan Rojas (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Johan Rojas is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.1% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday 19 July at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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