When did Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks play?

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks was played on Sunday 21 September 2025 at Chase Field.

Is Rafael Marchan playing in Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks?

Rafael Marchan is currently listed as out or questionable for Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks. See the Who's out panel above for the full availability list, updated roughly every four hours.

Does weather affect Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks?

It can — ballpark wind and temperature move MLB run totals, and the listed probable starters matter even more. Our live per-park weather module for Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks is pending a data-persistence job, so we show the general rule rather than a specific forecast.

Model picks & player props

Philadelphia Phillies

Arizona Diamondbacks

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks & Predictions

Q: Who leads the Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks head-to-head?

Arizona Diamondbacks lead 16-14 across the last 30 meetings on record (since 2023). Those games average 9.5 runs.

Q: How many picks are available for Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks?

The Bet Better model has generated 20 game picks and 6 player props for this matchup.

Model updated Aug 31, 12:25AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB

Chase Field, Phoenix

Indoor

Sun 21 Sep 2025, 12:10AM

Game markets graded

Props graded

The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first

Over 9 Total Runs +135

The model graded 26 markets for Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $235 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 21 Sep 2025, 12:10AM at Chase Field.

Our confidenceHigh

Chance to win60.8%

The price says42.6%

Best price+135

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market

Total Runs	Over 9	High61% chance	+135
Total Runs		Lean54% chance	—
Total Runs		High73% chance	—
Total Runs		Lean47% chance	—
Total Runs		High79% chance	—
Total Runs		High67% chance	—
Total Runs		Long-shot34% chance	—
Total Runs		Lean40% chance	—
Total Runs		High84% chance	—
Batter - Singles	× 2 props	Highup to 90%	—
Batter - Walks	× 1 prop	Highup to 95%	—
Batter - Doubles	× 3 props	Highup to 99%	—

High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Every MLB game on today's board →

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 21 bookmakers compared

Winner

Phillies1.93-108LowVig

Diamondbacks2.05+105Hard Rock Bet

Total runs

Over8.52.05+105Hard Rock Bet

Under8.51.87-115Hard Rock Bet

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)

This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHEDSTAKE $100RETURNS $130

Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

every bet public →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green

Total Runs

Over

7.5

-179

+ 19 more markets

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All 20 game markets and 6 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market

Pick	Market	Model lean
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Under	Team Total	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over	Total Runs	The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line

The market drifted away from Under on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Under

Exact move size

Best price right now

Hardrockbet

on Arizona Diamondbacks

Best-price gain

Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia Phillies

Rafael Marchan COut
Tanner Banks RPOut
Felix Reyes LFOut
Caleb Kilian RPOut
Brad Keller RPOut
Johan Rojas CFOut
Adolis Garcia RFOut

Probable pitcher

Zack Wheeler SP

Arizona Diamondbacks

Corbin Burnes SPOut
Zac Gallen SPOut
Tommy Troy LFOut
Michael Soroka SPOut
Ketel Marte 2BOut
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LFOut
Ryne Nelson SPOut
Blake Walston SPOut
Ryan Thompson RPOut
A.J. Puk RPOut
Andrew Saalfrank RPOut
Cristian Mena RPOut

Availability updated Aug 30, 8:07PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number

For Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.

Factor	This fixture
Ballpark weather	Wind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability	19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green

Player	Team	Stat
Gabriel Moreno	ARI	Batter - Singles
Kyle Schwarber	PHI	Batter - Walks
Bryce Harper	PHI	Batter - Singles
Harrison Bader	MIN	Batter - Doubles
Geraldo Perdomo	ARI	Batter - Doubles

+ 6 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Betting angles

Markets & form

MoneylineArizona DiamondbacksNo line posted

1-4L5 record

L5 RF1.2L5 RA1.6Home L51-4vs Philadelphia Phillies L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks moneyline form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Run LineArizona Diamondbacks run lineNo line posted

1-4L5 record

L5 RF1.2L5 RA1.6Home L51-4vs Philadelphia Phillies L53-2Free board11-10

Arizona Diamondbacks spread form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia PhilliesNo line posted

Arizona Diamondbacks total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsArizona Diamondbacks team totalNo line posted

1.2runs we expect

L5 RF1.2L5 RA1.6Home L51-4vs Philadelphia Phillies L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks team total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks — what the model found

Our model graded 26 betting markets for Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks — 20 on the game itself and 6 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

Game markets graded

Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 26 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 25 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent results

Arizona Diamondbacks have won 4 of their last 5 games; Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of their last 5.

Arizona Diamondbacks — last 5

Result	Score	Opponent	Where
W	10–6	SF	Away
W	7–1	SF	Away
L	1–6	SF	Away
W	5–4	CHC	Home
W	2–0	CHC	Home

Philadelphia Phillies — last 5

Result	Score	Opponent	Where
W	5–3	LAA	Away
L	1–4	SEA	Away
W	6–0	SEA	Away
L	2–9	SEA	Away
W	6–4	STL	Home

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 4.6 runs per game (2-3) while Philadelphia Phillies are at 5.6 (2-3); Arizona Diamondbacks pitchers are allowing 4.6 earned runs per game versus 5.4 for Philadelphia Phillies.

4.6

Arizona Diamondbacks runs/G

5.6

Philadelphia Phillies runs/G

Last 5 games	Arizona Diamondbacks	Philadelphia Phillies
Runs / game	4.6	5.6
Hits / game	7.4	10.2
Home runs / game	1.2	0.6
Walks drawn / game	3.8	3.8
Batter K / game	9.2	8.0
Earned runs allowed / game	4.6	5.4
Pitching K / game	9.0	8.6
Walks allowed / game	2.2	2.8
L5 record	2-3	2-3

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Arizona Diamondbacks won 2, Philadelphia Phillies won 1.

Date	Arizona Diamondbacks	Philadelphia Phillies	Winner
Apr 12	4	3	Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 11	3	4	Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 10	5	4	Arizona Diamondbacks

Who’s out or in doubt

19 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player	Status
Corbin Burnes SP	OUT
Zac Gallen SP	OUT
Tommy Troy LF	OUT
Michael Soroka SP	OUT
Ketel Marte 2B	OUT
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF	OUT
Ryne Nelson SP	OUT
Blake Walston SP	OUT

Philadelphia Phillies

Player	Status
Rafael Marchan C	OUT
Tanner Banks RP	OUT
Felix Reyes LF	OUT
Caleb Kilian RP	OUT
Brad Keller RP	OUT
Johan Rojas CF	OUT
Adolis Garcia RF	OUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks — where the money went

Since betting opened on Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks, the market has moved away from Under across the main game markets.

Bet	What the money did
Total Points — Under 8	▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 8	▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 8.5	▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 8.5	▼ Money drifted off this

🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members.

Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks — model preview

Our Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for August 31, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 31, 2026 our model has run Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies: Over 4.5 Total Runs (-769), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.