Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
MLB

Milwaukee Brewers

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs New York Mets (Home) Tue 21 Jul, 11:40PM American Family Field, Milwaukee · Indoor
Model updated Jul 21, 8:49AM UTC
Answer
The Milwaukee Brewers model is leaning the over in the Total Runs market vs New York Mets.
exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Total Runs
Over 12
Odds: +276
Model prob: 36.2%
+9.6%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

You're seeing today's free headline pick. Unlock the full model write-up, every other game market and all player props for this team.

Bet Better Unlock full analysis

Cancel anytime.

Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 7 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

Bet Better Unlock full edge table

Cancel anytime.

Availability

Roster status
Updated 20 Jul 2026, 23:40 UTC · may be stale
3B
David HamiltonOUTinjury
LF
Brandon LockridgeOUTinjury
RF
Sal FrelickOUTinjury
RP
Angel ZerpaOUTinjuryBrian FitzpatrickOUTinjuryDL HallOUTinjuryJoel KuhnelOUTinjuryRob ZastryznyOUTinjury
SP
Brandon WoodruffOUTinjuryKyle HarrisonOUTinjuryQuinn PriesterOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

3 markets live
Run LineMilwaukee Brewers run line-2.5 +240+21.7% edge
51%cover %
+2.6proj. margin
L5 RF5.2L5 RA2.8Home L54-1ATS5-9

Milwaukee Brewers spread vs New York Mets is live with a model 51% read and a +21.7% model edge; proj. margin +2.6.

MoneylineMilwaukee Brewers to win-143+18.5% edge
77%model win %
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.2L5 RA2.8Home L54-1Win rec6-6

Milwaukee Brewers moneyline vs New York Mets is live with a model 77% read and a +18.5% model edge; L5 record 4-1.

Total RunsGame total · Milwaukee Brewers vs New York MetsOver 9.5 +126+13.1% edge
57%over %
10.4proj. runs
L5 RF5.2L5 RA2.8Home L54-1O/U7-10

Milwaukee Brewers total runs vs New York Mets is live with a model 57% read and a +13.1% model edge; proj. runs 10.4.

Team Total RunsMilwaukee Brewers team totalNo line posted
5.2L5 runs/gm
L5 RF5.2L5 RA2.8Home L54-1

Milwaukee Brewers team total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.2 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Milwaukee Brewers have gone 4-1 over their last 5 games, averaging 5.2 runs and 4.8 hits per game while allowing 2.8 earned runs.

4-1
Last 5
5.2
Runs / G
4.8
Hits / G
1.0
HR / G
3.8
RBI / G
2.8
ER Allowed / G
4.4
Ks / G

About This Team

Milwaukee Brewers are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against New York Mets on Tuesday 21 July at American Family Field. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Milwaukee Brewers.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks