MLB

Milwaukee Brewers

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

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Next Game: vs San Diego Padres (Away) Tue 11 Aug, 1:40AM Petco Park, San Diego · Outdoor

The recordOur formula’s best MLB market: mlb total-runs unders · 546 of 996 · +$17,081

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Model updated Aug 10, 8:23PM UTC

Answer

The Milwaukee Brewers model is leaning San Diego Padres on the spread in the Spread market vs San Diego Padres.

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Today's Game Pick

Model edge

Spread

San Diego Padres -2.5

Odds: +320

Model prob: 52.8% · a $100 bet returns about $420 if it lands

+28.9%

Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair

Market	Model output
Spread	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread - 1st 5 Innings	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs	Probability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 7 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status

Updated 11 Aug 2026, 01:40 UTC

RF

Sal FrelickOUTinjury

RP

Angel ZerpaOUTinjuryBrian FitzpatrickOUTinjuryJoel KuhnelOUTinjuryJoJo RomeroOUTinjuryRob ZastryznyOUTinjury

SP

Brandon WoodruffOUTinjuryQuinn PriesterOUTinjury

SS

Cooper PrattOUTinjuryJoey OrtizDAY-TO-DAYinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions

Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.

Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →

0

Total Picks

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Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Date	Opponent	Market	Pick	Result

Betting angles

3 markets live

Run LineMoneylineTotal RunsTeam Total Runs

Run LineSan Diego Padres run line-2 +304

+2.9proj. margin

L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.0Away L53-2

Milwaukee Brewers spread vs San Diego Padres is live (LEAN); proj. margin +2.9.

MoneylineSan Diego Padres favored (model)+107

2-3L5 record

L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.0Away L53-2Free board9-8

Milwaukee Brewers moneyline vs San Diego Padres is live (HIGH); L5 record 2-3.

Total RunsGame total · Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego PadresOver 9 +204

8.8proj. runs

L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.0Away L53-2

Milwaukee Brewers total runs vs San Diego Padres is live and our model makes it 48% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 8.8.

Team Total RunsMilwaukee Brewers team totalNo line posted

1.6L5 runs/gm

L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.0Away L53-2

Milwaukee Brewers team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Recent form

Recent form (last 5 games)

Milwaukee Brewers have gone 2-3 over their last 5 games, averaging 1.6 runs and 2.2 hits per game while allowing 1.0 earned runs.

2-3

Last 5

1.6

Runs / G

2.2

Hits / G

0.8

HR / G

1.2

RBI / G

1.0

ER Allowed / G

2.6

Ks / G

About This Team

Milwaukee Brewers are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against San Diego Padres on Tuesday 11 August at Petco Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Milwaukee Brewers.

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