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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Justin Crawford is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +1.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 3, 11:32AM UTC
MLB

Justin Crawford

MLB

+1.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 -714 (1.14)
+1.2% Edge
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Mon 3 Aug, 10:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
89.0%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+1.2%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles89.0%87.7%1.12+1.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Justin Crawford Under 0.5 Doubles (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Philadelphia Phillies play Washington Nationals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Justin Crawford Under 0.5 Doubles (-714). That is a Doubles bet. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Betting angles

4 markets live
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming gameU 1.5 -139

Justin Crawford MLB hits + runs + rbis. Current line U 1.5 at -139.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -323

Justin Crawford MLB rbis. Current line U 0.5 at -323.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming gameU 0.5 -204

Justin Crawford MLB runs scored. Current line U 0.5 at -204.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -714

Justin Crawford MLB doubles. Current line U 0.5 at -714.

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
Streak2L2056%
O 0.550%

Justin Crawford MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.530%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Justin Crawford MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Justin Crawford MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -370 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -250 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Stolen Bases 0.5 Under -1111 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Walks Pending
31 Jul 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Runs Scored Pending

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About This Player

Justin Crawford is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Justin Crawford is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.2% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies on Monday 3 August at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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