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Justin Crawford

PHI

Value call

Justin Crawford has one live pick today: under 0.5 hits, runs and RBIs that pays $230 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
0.5 hits, runs and RBIs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 53.9% · before adjusting for past results 53.9% · the book's price implies 43.5% · gap +10.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Thu 1 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Justin Crawford
under 0.5 hits, runs and RBIs
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Under 0.5 +130 (2.30) · $100→$230
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$23.00 Odds+130
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Justin Crawford is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 43%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 11:12PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs53.9%53.9%43.5%2.50+10.4%

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies: Justin Crawford Under 0.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (+130)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Justin Crawford has struggled a bit lately, especially at Truist Park, where he averages less than one hit, run, and RBI combined in his last ten games. With the Atlanta Braves allowing about four runs per game this year, they are not exactly giving up many opportunities for hitters to shine. This makes betting on him to get less than half a hit, run, or RBI a reasonable choice. The Philadelphia Phillies have also been inconsistent, winning only two of their last six games. Crawford's recent performance shows he might not be able to break through against a solid Braves pitching staff. The biggest risk is how close these teams' recent forms are, but I think this bet has a decent chance of hitting.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Oct 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Under +130 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -143 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -303 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Doubles — — — Pending
01 Oct 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
01 Oct 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Justin Crawford (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Justin Crawford is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.4% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves on Thursday 1 October at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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