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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Trea Turner is Over 1.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: model probability 49%, implied 52%, edge -2.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 17, 3:40AM UTC
MLB

Trea Turner

LAD

-2.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5 -110 (1.91) · $100→$191
-2.9% Edge
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Thu 17 Sep, 11:15PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
2.4 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 49.5% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap -2.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs49.5%52.4%2.02-2.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Trea Turner has been solid lately, and the Mets have won six of their last ten games. He's going up against a Mets pitcher who allows around 3.7 runs every nine innings, which is better than average. The Phillies have a strong record on the road and have been hitting well against left-handed pitchers, just like the Mets have. With the way Turner has been playing, he could easily rack up over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs in this game. That said, the matchup is pretty close, and both teams are fairly evenly matched. The Mets are decent at home, but their record shows they struggle a bit more at Citi Field. So while Trea has a good shot, it's not a guaranteed win.

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Pick History & Track Record

Trea Turner's lines for Thu 17 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5

Trea Turner's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 1.5.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5

Trea Turner's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 0.5.

Batter Hits 1.5
-200 best over price · 6 booksHow many home runs does Trea Turner hit?

Trea Turner's batter hits line is 1.5, best over price -200 across 6 books.

Batter Total Bases 4.5
+146 best over price · 8 booksHow many home runs does Trea Turner hit?

Trea Turner's batter total bases line is 4.5, best over price +146 across 8 books.

Batter Total Bases 2.5
+146 best over price · 8 booksHow many home runs does Trea Turner hit?

Trea Turner's batter total bases line is 2.5, best over price +146 across 8 books.

Batter Runs Scored 1.5

Trea Turner's batter runs scored line is 1.5.

Batter Runs Scored 0.5

Trea Turner's batter runs scored line is 0.5.

Batter Home Runs 0.5
+750 best over price · 5 booksHow many home runs does Trea Turner hit?

Trea Turner's batter home runs line is 0.5, best over price +750 across 5 books.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Trea Turner is averaging 1.2 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.2
Hits
0.0
HR
0.4
RBI
0.8
Runs
0.8
Walks
0.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Trea Turner has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.540%
o1.530%
o2.510%
o3.520%
o4.520%

Home / away and opponent splits

Trea Turner is averaging 1.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.4 in away games, including his recent form against LAD.

1.2
Hits · Overall
0.4
Hits · Away
1.0
Hits · vs LAD
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs LAD
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Trea Turner (LAD) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trea Turner is Over 1.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a slight edge of -2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets on Thursday 17 September at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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