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Model picks & player props
Miami Marlins
VS
Philadelphia Phillies

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 2:30PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Outdoor
Tue 23 Sep 2025, 10:45PM
0
Game markets graded
7
Props graded

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Player props & full board
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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Miami Marlins

  • Kyle Stowers 1BDay-to-day
  • Max Meyer SPOut
  • Andrew Nardi RPOut
  • Robby Snelling SPOut
  • Adam Mazur SPOut
  • Anthony Bender RPOut
  • Ronny Henriquez RPOut
  • William Kempner RPOut

Probable pitcher

Ryan Gusto SP

Philadelphia Phillies

  • Caleb Kilian RPDay-to-day
  • Derek Hill CFDay-to-day
  • Brad Keller RPOut
  • Tanner Banks RPOut
  • Rafael Marchan COut
  • Johan Rojas CFOut
  • Adolis Garcia RFOut

Probable pitcher

Jesus Luzardo SP
Availability updated Aug 9, 9:36PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Cristopher Sanchez PHI Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Bryson Stott PHI Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Brandon Marsh PHI Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Xavier Edwards MIA Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Dane Myers MIA Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies — 0 on the game itself and 7 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

7
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 6 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies — recent results

Philadelphia Phillies have won 2 of their last 5 games; Miami Marlins have won 2 of their last 5.

Philadelphia Phillies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–6TORHome
L5–7TORHome
L4–5TORHome
W7–3WSHHome
L4–10WSHHome
Miami Marlins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W12–3LAAHome
W7–0LAAHome
L3–4LAAHome
L3–11ATLAway
L1–4ATLAway

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Philadelphia Phillies won 2, Miami Marlins won 4.

DatePhiladelphia PhilliesMiami MarlinsWinner
Jul 2968Miami Marlins
Jul 2801Miami Marlins
Jul 2778Miami Marlins
Jun 17412Miami Marlins
Jun 1682Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 1570Philadelphia Phillies

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Philadelphia Phillies
PlayerStatus
Caleb Kilian RPDAY-TO-DAY
Derek Hill CFDAY-TO-DAY
Brad Keller RPOUT
Tanner Banks RPOUT
Rafael Marchan COUT
Johan Rojas CFOUT
Adolis Garcia RFOUT
Miami Marlins
PlayerStatus
Kyle Stowers 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Max Meyer SPOUT
Andrew Nardi RPOUT
Robby Snelling SPOUT
Adam Mazur SPOUT
Anthony Bender RPOUT
Ronny Henriquez RPOUT
William Kempner RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins stats and odds.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins : Over 7 Total Runs (-294)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Marlins vs Phillies, or as Phillies vs Marlins. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 23 September 2025 at Citizens Bank Park. The model has generated 7 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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