Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Derek Hill is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 87%, versus the book's implied 83%, for a model edge of +4.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:13PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs
Under 0.5
-476 (1.21) · $100→$121
+4.1% Edge
Washington Nationals
@
Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Tue 4 Aug, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
DAY-TO-DAY
Phillies interim manager Don Mattingly said Thursday that Hill (shoulder) could be "ready to go" off the bench in Thursday's game versus the Nationals, Charlotte Varnes of The Athletic reports.
updated Aug 6, 7:57PM UTC · 3d old
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Implied Probability
82.6%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - RBIs | 86.8% | — | 82.6% | 1.15 | +4.1% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 4/5 |
| Last 10 games | 6/10 |
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Derek Hill (MIA) Under 0.5 RBIs (-476)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play Washington Nationals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Derek Hill (MIA) Under 0.5 RBIs (-476). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -476 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formBatter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Derek Hill MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted Derek Hill MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Derek Hill MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.570%
O 1.530%
O 2.530%
O 3.520%
O 4.520%
Derek Hill MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted Derek Hill MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted Derek Hill MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted Derek Hill MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Derek Hill MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Derek Hill (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Derek Hill is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.1% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday 4 August at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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