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MLB

Derek Hill

MLB

Value call

Derek Hill has one live pick today: over 0.5 stolen bases that pays $850 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
4 in 100
Predicted
0.2 stolen bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 3.6% · before adjusting for past results 18.1% · the book's price implies 11.8% · gap -8.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Thu 1 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Derek Hill
over 0.5 stolen bases
Batter - Stolen Bases Over 0.5 +750 (8.50) · $100→$850
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 4 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$85.00 Odds+750
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Derek Hill is Over 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 4 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 4%, the price says 12%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 1:57PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 143 of 247 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases18.1%3.6%11.8%27.82+6.4%

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies: Derek Hill Over 0.5 Batter - Stolen Bases (+750)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Derek Hill has been a sneaky player lately, especially when it comes to stealing bases. He has a solid chance to grab at least one steal against the Philadelphia Phillies, who have allowed some opportunities for quick runners. Plus, with Hill averaging almost two plate appearances at Citizens Bank Park, he should get chances to make a move. The Atlanta Braves are coming off a mixed run recently, winning only two of their last six games. While the Braves have allowed around four runs a game this year, Hill's chances hinge on his speed and timing. It's worth noting that he hasn't faced a ton of action at Truist Park, which could be a risk for this bet. Still, the odds are high, and it could be a fun chance to take!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -213 ✓ HIT
29 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Hits 0.5 Under -182 ✓ HIT
29 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Under -141 ✓ HIT
29 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Doubles — — — Pending
29 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
29 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending

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About This Player

Derek Hill is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Derek Hill is Over 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.4% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves on Thursday 1 October at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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