Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brandon Marsh is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On the Batter - Runs Scored market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +9.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 7:05PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored
Under 0.5
-185 (1.54) · $100→$154
+9.6% Edge
Philadelphia Phillies
@
St. Louis Cardinals
Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri · Outdoor
Mon 10 Aug, 11:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
64.9%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Runs Scored | 74.6% | — | 64.9% | 1.34 | +9.6% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/10 |
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Brandon Marsh (PHI) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-185)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
St. Louis Cardinals play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Brandon Marsh (PHI) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-185). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
6 markets liveBatter - Total BasesUpcoming vs STLU 1.5 -192 Game log vs U 1.58 / 11 hit
Brandon Marsh MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs STL. Current line U 1.5 at -192.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs STLU 0.5 -286 Game log vs U 0.54 / 9 hit
Brandon Marsh MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games vs STL. Current line U 0.5 at -286.
Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs STLU 0.5 -185 Game log vs U 0.54 / 8 hit
Brandon Marsh MLB runs scored vs STL. Current line U 0.5 at -185.
Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs STLU 0.5 -625 Game log vs U 0.56 / 8 hit
Brandon Marsh MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs STL. Current line U 0.5 at -625.
Batter - WalksUpcoming vs STLU 0.5 -323 Game log vs U 0.55 / 7 hit
Brandon Marsh MLB walks: cleared under 0.5 in 63% of the last 10 games vs STL. Current line U 0.5 at -323.
Batter - Stolen BasesUpcoming vs STLU 0.5 -1429 Brandon Marsh MLB stolen bases: cleared under 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games vs STL. Current line U 0.5 at -1429.
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Brandon Marsh MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Brandon Marsh MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 2 · hi 4 · lo 0
Brandon Marsh MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.8 · hi 2 · lo 0
Brandon Marsh MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Brandon Marsh MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 09 Aug 26 |
 Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies |
Batter - Doubles |
0.5 |
Under |
-476 |
✓ HIT |
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Brandon Marsh (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brandon Marsh is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.6% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals on Monday 10 August at Busch Stadium, St. Louis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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