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The latest Bet Better model pick for Alec Bohm is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +20.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 18, 9:07AM UTC
MLB

Alec Bohm

PHI

+20.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -244 (1.41)
+20.9% Edge
New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 8:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
91.8%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+20.9%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits91.8%—70.9%1.09+20.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games10/10

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AI Analysis

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Alec Bohm (PHI) Under 1.5 Hits (-244)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies prepare to face the Mets, Alec Bohm’s recent struggles against left-handed pitching make the under on his hits at 1.5 an intriguing play. He’s been held to a modest .220 batting average against southpaws lately, and with New York’s ace on the mound, things could get trickier. The Mets' starter has been dominant, with a strikeout rate that’s been climbing, effectively neutralizing right-handed bats like Bohm. Additionally, the Phillies have shown a tendency to struggle with situational hitting, particularly in tight contests. With the pressure mounting in this divisional showdown, it’s reasonable to expect Bohm might find it tough to make solid contact. Given all the signs pointing toward a challenging day at the plate, betting under on Bohm’s hits could yield a favorable outcome. The trends are aligning, and it feels like a smart move as the game unfolds.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

2 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming vs NYMU 1.5 -244+20.9% edge
Game log vs U 1.54 / 4 hit
1010

Alec Bohm MLB hits vs NYM. Current line U 1.5 at -244 (+20.9% model edge).

Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs NYMU 1.5 -128+29.3% edge
60%hit L10
L2070%

Alec Bohm MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games vs NYM. Current line U 1.5 at -128 (+29.3% model edge).

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Alec Bohm MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak8L2075%
O 0.590%
O 1.550%
O 2.540%
O 3.520%
O 4.510%

Alec Bohm MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.510%

Alec Bohm MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
O 0.570%
O 1.510%

Alec Bohm MLB runs scored: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%

Alec Bohm MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Jul 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -179 ✓ HIT
09 Jul 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -233 ✓ HIT
06 Jul 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -233 ✓ HIT
06 Jul 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
26 Jun 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Hits — — — Pending
23 Jun 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Alec Bohm (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alec Bohm is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.9% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday 18 July at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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