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The latest Bet Better model pick for Alec Bohm is Over 4.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 33 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 33%, implied 6%, edge +27.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 6 of the last 10
Under 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 17, 2:21AM UTC
MLB

Alec Bohm

PHI

+27.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Over 4.5 +1500 (16.00) · $100→$1,600
+27.1% Edge
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Thu 17 Sep, 11:15PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
33 in 100
Predicted
1.7 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 33.3% · the book's price implies 6.3% · gap +27.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases33.3%—6.3%3.00+27.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Alec Bohm Over 4.5 Batter - Total Bases (+1500)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Mets face the Phillies in a matchup where both teams have shown some ups and downs lately. Alec Bohm has been on fire at the plate, getting hits about one and a half times more often than usual. He's also hitting the ball hard and at the right angle, which makes him a serious threat. The Mets have struggled at home this season, and pitching could be a challenge for them. Bohm is up against a Mets team that has allowed decent hitting against lefties this year. With his recent form and the Mets' home struggles, betting on Bohm to get over 4.5 total bases feels like a solid shot. Just remember, he might face tough pitching, which is the biggest risk here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Alec Bohm's lines for Thu 17 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Total Bases 4.5
How many home runs does Alec Bohm hit?

Alec Bohm's batter total bases line is 4.5.

Batter Total Bases 3.5
How many home runs does Alec Bohm hit?

Alec Bohm's batter total bases line is 3.5.

Batter Total Bases 2.5
How many home runs does Alec Bohm hit?

Alec Bohm's batter total bases line is 2.5.

Batter Total Bases 1.5
How many home runs does Alec Bohm hit?

Alec Bohm's batter total bases line is 1.5.

Batter RBIs 0.5
How many home runs does Alec Bohm hit?

Alec Bohm's batter rbis line is 0.5.

Batter Home Runs 0.5
How many home runs does Alec Bohm hit?

Alec Bohm's batter home runs line is 0.5.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5
How many home runs does Alec Bohm hit?

Alec Bohm's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 1.5.

Batter Runs Scored 1.5
How many home runs does Alec Bohm hit?

Alec Bohm's batter runs scored line is 1.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Alec Bohm is averaging 1.4 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.4
Hits
0.0
HR
0.2
RBI
1.0
Runs
0.0
Walks
0.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Alec Bohm has gone over 1.5 total bases in 33% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.533%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Alec Bohm is averaging 1.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in away games, including his recent form against LAD.

1.4
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Away
1.0
Hits · vs LAD
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs LAD
Quick answers:How many home runs does Alec Bohm hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Alec Bohm (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alec Bohm is Over 4.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.1% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets on Thursday 17 September at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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