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MLB

Cincinnati Reds

Today's best bet on this team, checked by our model — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs San Francisco Giants (Away) Wed 26 Aug, 7:45PM Oracle Park, San Francisco · Outdoor
The recordOur formula’s best MLB market: mlb total-runs unders · 933 of 1,879 · +$11,562
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Model updated Aug 26, 3:52PM UTC
Answer
The Cincinnati Reds model is leaning the over in the Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings market vs San Francisco Giants.
model hit rate 57.9% across 38 settled Cincinnati Reds picks · the full numbers on every bet unlock with a subscription.

Scoring profile

Points scored per game3.6
Points allowed per game5.1

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings
Over 0.5
Odds: +118
Our numbers say this wins about 44 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $218 if it lands
-5.0%
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Upcoming Games

Next 1
DateOpponentWhereVenue
Wed 26 AugSan Francisco GiantsAwayOracle Park

Recent Results

3–7 in the last 10
DateOpponentWhereScoreResult
26 AugSan Francisco GiantsAway1–3L
25 AugSan Francisco GiantsAway0–5L
23 AugArizona DiamondbacksAway11–5W
23 AugArizona DiamondbacksAway3–5L
22 AugArizona DiamondbacksAway0–9L
20 AugSt. Louis CardinalsHome9–10L
19 AugSt. Louis CardinalsHome5–4W
18 AugSt. Louis CardinalsHome0–3L
17 AugSt. Louis CardinalsHome6–5W
17 AugSt. Louis CardinalsHome1–2L

Every Game Bet, Graded

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
Total RunsWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Spread - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Spread - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsWith Pro

The model has graded 8 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 26 Aug 2026, 01:45 UTC · may be stale
1B
Michael TogliaOUTinjurySpencer SteerOUTinjury
CF
Blake DunnOUTinjury
RP
Graham AshcraftOUTinjury
SP
Brandon WilliamsonOUTinjuryHunter GreeneOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
Recent form: won 6 of last 10 settled picks (60%).
38
Total Picks
57.9%
Hit Rate
Total Runs (92% hit)
Highest Hit-Rate Market

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 1.5 ✗ MISS
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Total Runs Under 6.5 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Spread - 1st 5 Innings San Francisco Giants -2.5 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Total Runs Under 5.5 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Spread San Francisco Giants -2.5 ✗ MISS
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Spread - 1st 5 Innings San Francisco Giants -1.5 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 2.5 ✗ MISS
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Spread - 1st 5 Innings San Francisco Giants -3.5 ✗ MISS
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Total Runs Under 8 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Spread - 1st 5 Innings San Francisco Giants -0.5 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Spread San Francisco Giants -1.5 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Spread Cincinnati Reds -2.5 ✗ MISS
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Total Runs Under 7.5 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants Total Runs Under 8.5 ✓ HIT

Betting angles

3 markets live
Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco GiantsUnder 2.5 +1200
7.2proj. runs
L5 RF2.8L5 RA2.8Away L52-3

Cincinnati Reds total runs vs San Francisco Giants is live and our model makes it 12% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 7.2.

Run LineCincinnati Reds run line-5 +760
-0.1proj. margin
L5 RF2.8L5 RA2.8Away L52-3

Cincinnati Reds spread vs San Francisco Giants is live and our model makes it 9% (LONG-SHOT); proj. margin -0.1.

MoneylineCincinnati Reds to win+104
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.8L5 RA2.8Away L52-3

Cincinnati Reds moneyline vs San Francisco Giants is live and our model makes it 46% (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 2-3.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
2.8L5 runs/gm
L5 RF2.8L5 RA2.8Away L52-3

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.8 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Cincinnati Reds have gone 2-3 over their last 5 games, averaging 2.8 runs and 3.4 hits per game while allowing 2.8 earned runs.

2-3
Last 5
2.8
Runs / G
3.4
Hits / G
0.6
HR / G
1.4
RBI / G
2.8
ER Allowed / G
0.8
Ks / G

About This Team

Cincinnati Reds are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. The model has hit at a rate of 57.9% on tracked Cincinnati Reds picks. The market where Cincinnati Reds picks have landed most often is Total Runs (92% hit) — a hit rate, not a measure of profit. Their next game is against San Francisco Giants on Wednesday 26 August at Oracle Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Cincinnati Reds.

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