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MLB

Cincinnati Reds

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Colorado Rockies (Away) Sat 18 Jul, 12:40AM Coors Field, Denver · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 17, 7:55AM UTC
Answer
The Cincinnati Reds model is leaning Cincinnati Reds in the Moneyline market vs Colorado Rockies.
exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Moneyline
Cincinnati Reds
Odds: -104
Model prob: 59.0%
+7.9%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
Spread - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 5 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 13 Jul 2026, 20:52 UTC · may be stale
2B
Matt McLainOUTinjury
CF
Blake DunnOUTinjuryDane MyersOUTinjury
RP
Graham AshcraftOUTinjuryTony SantillanOUTinjury
SP
Brandon WilliamsonOUTinjuryNick LodoloOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate
DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineCincinnati Reds to win-104+7.9% edge
59%model win %
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.2L5 RA2.8Away L52-3Win rec3-8

Cincinnati Reds moneyline vs Colorado Rockies is live with a model 59% read and a +7.9% model edge; L5 record 2-3.

Run LineCincinnati Reds run line-1.5 +142+7.8% edge
-1.4proj. margin
L5 RF4.2L5 RA2.8Away L52-3ATS3-9

Cincinnati Reds spread vs Colorado Rockies is live with a model 49% read and a +7.8% model edge; proj. margin -1.4.

Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado RockiesUnder 10.5 +146+3.6% edge
11.2proj. runs
L5 RF4.2L5 RA2.8Away L52-3O/U9-8

Cincinnati Reds total runs vs Colorado Rockies is live with a model 44% read and a +3.6% model edge; proj. runs 11.2.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
4.2L5 runs/gm
L5 RF4.2L5 RA2.8Away L52-3

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.2 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Cincinnati Reds have gone 2-3 over their last 5 games, averaging 4.2 runs and 5.4 hits per game while allowing 2.8 earned runs.

2-3
Last 5
4.2
Runs / G
5.4
Hits / G
1.2
HR / G
2.8
RBI / G
2.8
ER Allowed / G
4.2
Ks / G

About This Team

Cincinnati Reds are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Colorado Rockies on Saturday 18 July at Coors Field. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Cincinnati Reds.