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Model picks & player props
MLB
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Outdoor
Wed 23 Sep 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Toronto Blue Jays
VS
Baltimore Orioles

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles and backs Over 9 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $317.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 9 total runs
Over 9 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$31.70Best price+217
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win36.5%
The price says40.5%

The model graded 70 markets for Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $317 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 23 Sep 2026, 6:36 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 9 Long-shot36% chance +217
Total Runs Members only Long-shot26% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean49% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot27% chance Members
Pitcher - Outs × 2 props Highup to 66% Members
Batter - Strikeouts × 3 props Long-shotup to 32% Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Leanup to 46% Members
Batter - RBIs × 8 props Long-shotup to 38% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 9 props Leanup to 47% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Leanup to 50% Members
Batter - Home Runs × 6 props Long-shotup to 15% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 9 props Leanup to 42% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 1 prop Long-shotup to 12% Members
Batter - Hits × 6 props Long-shotup to 9% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles last met on Wed 23 Sep 2026: Baltimore Orioles won 4-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
9
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,095+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Blue JaysMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Dylan Cease SPOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Shane Bieber SPOut
  • Jameson Taillon SPOut
  • Rudy Martin Jr. RFOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Patrick Corbin SPOut
  • Jonatan Clase LFOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Jake Bloss SPOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Baltimore Orioles

  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
  • Kyle Bradish SPOut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Tyler O'Neill RFOut
  • Samuel Basallo COut
  • Jackson Holliday 2BOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Luis Robert Jr. CFOut
  • Reed Trimble LFDay-to-day
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Cameron Foster RPDay-to-day
  • Zach Eflin SPOut
Availability updated Sep 28, 5:31PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 27 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability27 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Chris Bassitt TOR Pitcher - Outs
Leody Taveras TEX Batter - Strikeouts
Chris Bassitt TOR Pitcher - Strikeouts
Colton Cowser BAL Batter - RBIs
Andres Gimenez CLE Batter - Total Bases

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBaltimore OriolesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Toronto Blue Jays L52-3

Baltimore Orioles moneyline form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Run LineBaltimore Orioles run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Toronto Blue Jays L52-3

Baltimore Orioles spread form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue JaysNo line posted

Baltimore Orioles total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBaltimore Orioles team totalNo line posted
5.0runs we expect
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Toronto Blue Jays L52-3

Baltimore Orioles team total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles — recent results

Baltimore Orioles have won 4 of their last 5 games; Toronto Blue Jays have won 2 of their last 5.

Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–6NYYAway
W10–2NYYAway
W4–2TORHome
W4–2TORHome
W4–3TORHome
Toronto Blue Jays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–1CINHome
L1–5CINHome
W6–5CINHome
L2–4BALAway
L2–4BALAway

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Baltimore Orioles are scoring 3.2 runs per game (2-3) while Toronto Blue Jays are at 3.6 (2-3); Baltimore Orioles pitchers are allowing 2.6 earned runs per game versus 3.0 for Toronto Blue Jays.

3.2
Baltimore Orioles runs/G
3.6
Toronto Blue Jays runs/G
Last 5 gamesBaltimore OriolesToronto Blue Jays
Runs / game3.23.6
Hits / game7.07.4
Home runs / game1.60.2
Walks drawn / game2.63.0
Batter K / game9.25.0
Earned runs allowed / game2.63.0
Pitching K / game9.68.8
Walks allowed / game3.44.8
L5 record2-32-3

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Baltimore Orioles won 6, Toronto Blue Jays won 4.

DateBaltimore OriolesToronto Blue JaysWinner
Sep 2342Baltimore Orioles
Sep 2342Baltimore Orioles
Sep 2143Baltimore Orioles
Sep 1318Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 1237Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 1174Baltimore Orioles
Jun 746Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 646Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 5133Baltimore Orioles
May 3195Baltimore Orioles

Who’s out or in doubt

27 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Jordan Westburg 3BOUT
Kyle Bradish SPOUT
Blaze Alexander 3BOUT
Tyler O'Neill RFOUT
Samuel Basallo COUT
Jackson Holliday 2BOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Toronto Blue Jays
PlayerStatus
Dylan Cease SPOUT
Anthony Santander RFOUT
Shane Bieber SPOUT
Jameson Taillon SPOUT
Rudy Martin Jr. RFOUT
Cody Ponce SPOUT
Patrick Corbin SPOUT
Jonatan Clase LFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles — model preview

Our Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles prediction for September 24, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 24, 2026 our model has run Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Walks (-179), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Jays vs Orioles, or as Orioles vs Jays. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 23 September 2026 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles head-to-head record

Final scores · 62 meetings on record
Baltimore Orioles 35–26 across the last 62 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 9.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 23 Sep 2026, Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles: the Orioles won 4-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
23 Sep 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles4–2Baltimore Orioles
21 Sep 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles4–3Baltimore Orioles
13 Sep 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays8–1Toronto Blue Jays
12 Sep 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays7–3Toronto Blue Jays
11 Sep 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays4–7Baltimore Orioles
7 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays6–4Toronto Blue Jays
6 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays6–4Toronto Blue Jays
5 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays3–13Baltimore Orioles
31 May 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles9–5Baltimore Orioles
30 May 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles6–5Baltimore Orioles

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 62 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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