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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Smith is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 79%, for a model edge of +3.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:36PM UTC
MLB

Josh Smith

MLB

+3.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs Under 0.5 -385 (1.26) · $100→$126
+3.5% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 5:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.9%
Implied Probability
79.4%
Model Edge
+3.5%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - RBIs82.9%—79.4%1.21+3.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Josh Smith Under 0.5 RBIs (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Philadelphia Phillies play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Josh Smith Under 0.5 RBIs (-385). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -385 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -385 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -244 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Stolen Bases 0.5 Under -1667 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Walks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Smith is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Smith is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday 9 August at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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