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Josh Smith

TEX

Value call

Josh Smith has one live pick today: over 0.5 home runs that pays $1,240 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
9 in 100
Predicted
0.1 home runs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 9.3% · before adjusting for past results 10.7% · the book's price implies 8.1% · gap +1.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Sat 26 Sep, 3:07 PM ET
Josh Smith
over 0.5 home runs
Batter - Home Runs Over 0.5 +1140 (12.40) · $100→$1,240
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 9 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$124.00 Odds+1140
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Smith is Over 0.5 on Batter - Home Runs.
On Batter - Home Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 9 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 9%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 12:02PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 140 of 242 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Home Runs10.7%9.3%8.1%9.60+2.7%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Smith (TEX) Over 0.5 Home Runs (+1140)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Toronto Blue Jays play Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Josh Smith (TEX) Over 0.5 Home Runs (+1140). That is a Home Runs bet. It was priced at +1140 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $124 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Quick answers:How many home runs does Josh Smith hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -141 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Singles — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Singles — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Hits — — — Pending
23 Sep 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
23 Sep 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Smith (TEX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Smith is Over 0.5 on Batter - Home Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.7% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday 26 September at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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