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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Smith is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +13.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:03PM UTC
MLB

Josh Smith

TEX

+13.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -345 (1.29)
+13.1% Edge
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Sun 12 Apr, 1:10AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
90.6%
Implied Probability
77.5%
Model Edge
+13.1%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits90.6%77.5%1.10+13.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Josh Smith (TEX) Under 1.5 Hits (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%

Josh Smith MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.517%
O 2.517%
O 3.517%

Josh Smith MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.517%

Josh Smith MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak8L2065%

Josh Smith MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%
O 1.517%

Josh Smith MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10

Josh Smith MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Josh Smith (TEX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Smith is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.1% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday 12 April at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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