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Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
TEX
For the numbers: model probability 66.0% · the book's price implies 76.9% · gap -10.9%.
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.
New York Yankees play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Josh Smith (TEX) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-333). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -333 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Josh Smith is averaging 1.6 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Josh Smith has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
Josh Smith is averaging 1.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.4 in away games, including his recent form against CLE.
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Josh Smith (TEX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Smith is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -10.9% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees on Friday 21 August at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.
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