On August 2, 2026 our model has run St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is George Springer (TOR) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-179), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-154)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Blue Jays gear up to face the Cardinals, all eyes will be on Vladimir Guerrero Jr., but betting the under on his total bases seems wise. While Guerrero is undeniably a force at the plate, he’s had a slight dip lately, hitting just.250 over the last two weeks, which is well below his typical standards. The Cardinals' pitching staff has been quietly effective, particularly with their ace, who excels at keeping hitters off balance.
Guerrero tends to struggle against power pitchers like the one the Cardinals are rolling out, who boasts a solid strikeout rate. Given the matchup and the fact that Guerrero has only surpassed this line in half of his last ten games, betting the under on 1.5 total bases feels like a smart play. With the pressure building in this matchup, don't be surprised if he finds himself held in check.
George Springer (TOR) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-179)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As we gear up for Sunday’s showdown between the Toronto Blue Jays and St. Louis Cardinals, all eyes will be on George Springer. While he’s been a pivotal player for the Jays, recent trends suggest a dip in his offensive production that could hinder his chances of exceeding 1.5 total bases.
Springer faces a Cardinals’ pitching staff that’s been surprisingly effective, especially against right-handed hitters—his primary role. Over the last few weeks, they’ve limited opponents to a.230 batting average, showcasing their knack for neutralizing power bats. Furthermore, Springer has struggled a bit with consistency, failing to clear that 1.5 threshold in several games against similar caliber pitching.
With the backdrop of a well-prepared St. Louis rotation and Springer’s recent form, betting on the under feels like the savvy move here. Expect a tight game, and it could mean fewer opportunities for Springer to rack up those bases.
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Total Bases (-172)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Blue Jays face off against the Cardinals, Ernie Clement’s batting struggles could be a telling factor in this matchup. While Toronto’s lineup boasts power, Clement's recent form has seen him mired in a slump, collecting just a handful of hits over the last week.
With the Cardinals sending a formidable pitcher to the mound, whose strikeout rate hovers around 25%, it’s a tough day for hitters, especially a less consistent player like Clement. The right-hander’s ability to keep hitters off balance, combined with Clement’s tendency to struggle against quality pitching, points to a challenging afternoon for him.
Moreover, with Clement’s projected total bases sitting at just 1.11, the under on 1.5 total bases feels like a smart play. Given his recent performance and the matchup dynamics, it seems prudent to anticipate another quiet day at the plate for him.
Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals: Under 7 Total Runs (+200)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As the Toronto Blue Jays host the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday, August 2nd, the stage is set for a pitching duel that could lead to a low-scoring affair. The Blue Jays have been riding a wave of strong pitching lately, with their starters boasting a solid ERA that has kept opponents in check. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have shown a tendency to struggle at the plate against elite pitching, making runs hard to come by.
With a total set at 7, it seems the oddsmakers are underestimating the potential for a tight matchup. Both teams have been involved in a number of low-scoring games recently, further suggesting that this contest could mirror those trends. Look for the pitchers to shine and the bats to sputter, making the 'Under 7' an enticing wager in what promises to be a strategic, tightly contested game.
Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals: Under 8.5 Total Runs (+116)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As the Toronto Blue Jays welcome the St. Louis Cardinals, the stage is set for a game that may not see the scoreboard light up frequently. Both teams have shown a tendency towards low-scoring affairs lately. The Blue Jays' lineup, while potent, has faced struggles against left-handed pitching, and with the Cardinals sending out a southpaw, we can expect them to be less explosive than usual.
On the mound, Toronto’s starter has been effective at limiting hard contact, posting an impressive WHIP that reflects his ability to navigate through lineups efficiently. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have been inconsistent offensively, often failing to capitalize with runners in scoring position. With the total sitting at 8.5, it feels like a ripe opportunity to back the 'Under.' Given these recent trends and the pitching matchup, it’s a game where runs could be at a premium.
Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals: Under 7.5 Total Runs (+162)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As the Blue Jays host the Cardinals, the stage is set for a clash that may not light up the scoreboard. Toronto's offense has sputtered a bit lately, averaging just over four runs per game in their last stretch, indicating that they might be more reliant on their pitching than on their bats. Meanwhile, St. Louis has also struggled to find their rhythm, failing to capitalize against solid pitching, with their last few games showcasing some lackluster offensive outputs.
On the mound, the Jays are sending out a pitcher who's been particularly effective at home, boasting an impressive strikeout rate that could keep the Cardinals’ lineup in check. Coupled with the fact that both teams have leaned heavily on their bullpens recently, an under bet on this total feels prudent. With the line set at 7.5, it’s reasonable to expect an intriguing battle that might just end with a low score, making the under a wise play.
That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.