Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan Lukes is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On the Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +2.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 9, 11:19AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Under 1.5
-238 (1.42)
+2.1% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays
@
Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 5:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 498 of 903 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
70.4%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs | 72.5% | — | 70.4% | 1.38 | +2.1% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 1/10 |
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Nathan Lukes (TOR) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-238)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Nathan Lukes (TOR) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-238). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -238 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
8 markets liveBatter - HitsUpcoming vs PHIU 1.5 -323 Game log vs U 1.51 / 3 hit
Nathan Lukes MLB hits vs PHI. Current line U 1.5 at -323.
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs PHIU 1.5 -161 Game log vs U 1.54 / 8 hit
Nathan Lukes MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs PHI. Current line U 1.5 at -161.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming vs PHIU 1.5 -169 Game log vs U 1.53 / 5 hit
Nathan Lukes MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs PHI. Current line U 1.5 at -169.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs PHIU 0.5 -312 Game log vs U 0.54 / 6 hit
Nathan Lukes MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs PHI. Current line U 0.5 at -312.
Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs PHIU 0.5 -167 Game log vs U 0.55 / 6 hit
Nathan Lukes MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games vs PHI. Current line U 0.5 at -167.
Batter - SinglesUpcoming vs PHIU 1.5 -476 Game log vs U 1.52 / 4 hit
Nathan Lukes MLB singles vs PHI. Current line U 1.5 at -476.
Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs PHIU 0.5 -556 Game log vs U 0.56 / 6 hit
Nathan Lukes MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs PHI. Current line U 0.5 at -556.
Batter - WalksUpcoming vs PHIU 0.5 -357 Game log vs U 0.54 / 5 hit
Nathan Lukes MLB walks: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs PHI. Current line U 0.5 at -357.
Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Nathan Lukes MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 08 Aug 26 |
Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies |
Batter - Doubles |
0.5 |
Under |
-769 |
✓ HIT |
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Nathan Lukes (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan Lukes is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.1% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday 9 August at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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