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MLB

Cleveland Guardians

Next game: the Guardians host the Rays on Friday 16 October. The market makes the Guardians close to a coin flip to win, a fair price of about $2.02. See the game preview

Next Game: vs Tampa Bay Rays (Home) Fri 16 Oct, 8:00 PM ET Progressive Field, Cleveland · Outdoor Game preview ›

Today's Game Pick

Our callFree
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
LEAN
Our numbers say this wins about 47 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $200 if it lands
You bet$10 If it wins$20.00 Odds+100
See why we picked it

Our model gives it about a 47% chance to land.

+10.1%
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Model updated Oct 16, 12:26PM UTC
Answer
The Cleveland Guardians model is leaning Cleveland Guardians in the Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings market vs Tampa Bay Rays.
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Scoring profile

Points scored per game4.7
Points allowed per game3.1

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Moneyline - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
Total RunsWith Pro
Spread - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro

The model has graded 3 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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How the price moved

When prices opened: Tampa Bay Rays about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Tampa Bay Raysabout 5 in 10$1.98 (-102)$1.91 (-110)
Guardiansabout 5 in 10$2.02 (+102)$1.98 (-102)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.80 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 47 books we check.

All MLB odds this week →

Cleveland Guardians same game parlay

With Pro

Our model's same game parlay for Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET. 2 legs:

Richie Palacios · hits
Nick Martinez · strikeouts

See each leg's pick, line and price, and what it pays, with Pro.

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No parlay is a sure thing — longer combinations pay more exactly because they lose more often.

Guardians schedule and results, 2026

Results
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotalGame
Sat 19 Sepvs Oakland AthleticsW 12-6–––
Sun 20 Sepvs Oakland AthleticsW 1-0–––
Tue 22 Sepat Boston Red SoxW 3-2Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 6Game page
Wed 23 Sepat Boston Red SoxL 0-1Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 6.5Game page
Thu 24 Sepat Boston Red SoxW 1-0Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 6.5Game page
Fri 25 Sepat Kansas City RoyalsW 12-9Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 7Game page
Sat 26 Sepat Kansas City RoyalsW 11-5Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 8.5Game page
Sun 27 Sepat Kansas City RoyalsL 2-3Missed (favourite by 1.5)Under 8.5Game page
Show every game listed
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotalGame
Sun 12 Julat Miami MarlinsW 5-2Covered (favourite by 1.5)Under 7.5Game page
Sat 18 Julvs Pittsburgh PiratesL 1-7Missed (underdog by 1.5)Under 8.5Game page
Sun 19 Julvs Pittsburgh PiratesL 1-7Missed (underdog by 1.5)Over 7Game page
Mon 20 Julvs Minnesota TwinsW 13-4Covered (underdog by 1.5)Over 7.5Game page
Tue 21 Julvs Minnesota TwinsW 5-2Covered (favourite by 1.5)Under 8Game page
Wed 22 Julvs Minnesota TwinsL 6-10Missed (favourite by 1.5)Over 8Game page
Thu 23 Julvs Minnesota TwinsL 1-3Missed (favourite by 1.5)Under 7.5Game page
Fri 24 Julat Tampa Bay RaysL 3-11Missed (underdog by 1.5)Over 7.5Game page
Sat 25 Julat Tampa Bay RaysL 0-3Missed (underdog by 1.5)Under 8Game page
Sun 26 Julat Tampa Bay RaysL 0-1Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 7Game page
Tue 28 Julat Cincinnati RedsW 6-5Covered (underdog by 1.5)Over 9Game page
Wed 29 Julat Cincinnati RedsW 6-1Covered (favourite by 1.5)Under 8.5Game page
Fri 31 Julvs Arizona DiamondbacksL 1-4––Game page
Sat 1 Augvs Arizona DiamondbacksL 8-12––Game page
Sun 2 Augvs Arizona DiamondbacksW 5-0––Game page
Tue 4 Augvs New York MetsL 2-6––Game page
Wed 5 Augvs New York MetsL 5-6––Game page
Thu 6 Augvs New York MetsL 6-13––Game page
Fri 7 Augat Chicago White SoxW 8-2––Game page
Sat 8 Augat Chicago White SoxL 3-6––Game page
Sun 9 Augat Chicago White SoxL 3-5––Game page
Tue 11 Augat Detroit TigersL 4-6––Game page
Wed 12 Augat Detroit TigersW 6-4––Game page
Thu 13 Augat Detroit TigersL 0-3––Game page
Fri 14 Augvs San Diego PadresL 5-7––Game page
Sat 15 Augvs San Diego PadresW 6-1––Game page
Sun 16 Augvs San Diego PadresL 0-5––Game page
Tue 18 Augvs San Francisco GiantsW 8-1––Game page
Wed 19 Augvs San Francisco GiantsL 0-1––Game page
Thu 20 Augvs San Francisco GiantsW 5-2––Game page
Fri 21 Augat Colorado RockiesW 9-1––Game page
Sat 22 Augat Colorado RockiesW 4-3––Game page
Sun 23 Augat Colorado RockiesW 7-2––Game page
Mon 24 Augat Los Angeles AngelsW 4-2––Game page
Tue 25 Augat Los Angeles AngelsW 8-6––Game page
Wed 26 Augat Los Angeles AngelsW 4-3––Game page
Fri 28 Augvs Kansas City RoyalsL 0-3––Game page
Sat 29 Augvs Kansas City RoyalsL 3-8––Game page
Sun 30 Augvs Kansas City RoyalsW 11-1––Game page
Tue 1 Sepvs Toronto Blue JaysW 6-1Covered (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Wed 2 Sepvs Toronto Blue JaysL 0-11Missed (underdog by 1.5)–Game page
Thu 3 Sepvs Toronto Blue JaysL 3-6Missed (underdog by 1.5)–Game page
Fri 4 Sepvs Detroit TigersW 4-3Missed (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Sun 6 Sepvs Detroit TigersW 3-2Missed (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Mon 7 Sepat Baltimore OriolesL 4-6Missed (underdog by 1.5)–Game page
Tue 8 Sepat Baltimore OriolesL 5-9Missed (underdog by 1.5)–Game page
Sat 12 Sepat Minnesota TwinsL 3-4Missed (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Sun 13 Sepat Minnesota TwinsW 9-2Covered (underdog by 1.5)–Game page
Mon 14 Sepvs Chicago White SoxL 3-7Missed (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Tue 15 Sepvs Chicago White SoxW 7-6Missed (favourite by 1.5)Over 9Game page
Wed 16 Sepvs Chicago White SoxW 6-3Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 7Game page
Fri 18 Sepvs Oakland AthleticsW 5-3–––
Sat 19 Sepvs Oakland AthleticsW 12-6–––
Sun 20 Sepvs Oakland AthleticsW 1-0–––
Tue 22 Sepat Boston Red SoxW 3-2Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 6Game page
Wed 23 Sepat Boston Red SoxL 0-1Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 6.5Game page
Thu 24 Sepat Boston Red SoxW 1-0Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 6.5Game page
Fri 25 Sepat Kansas City RoyalsW 12-9Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 7Game page
Sat 26 Sepat Kansas City RoyalsW 11-5Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 8.5Game page
Sun 27 Sepat Kansas City RoyalsL 2-3Missed (favourite by 1.5)Under 8.5Game page

Run line and total are the main closing lines just before the start. Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often the Guardians cover the run line

Team history

In the 2025 regular season the Guardians covered the run line in 84 of 156 games: 40 of 81 at home and 44 of 75 away. Their games went over the total 71 times in 153.

SeasonCovered at homeCovered awayCovered, allOver at homeOver awayOver, all
202540 of 8144 of 7584 of 15638 of 8133 of 7271 of 153
What do these numbers mean?

Bookmakers give the weaker team a head start called the run line. A team covers when it wins by more than the run line, or loses by less than its head start. A push is a tie with the line, so bets were refunded. The total is the bookmakers' line for points in the game; over means the game finished above it. We count the main closing line just before the start, complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

Guardians injuries

Updated 15 Oct
PlayerPositionStatusInjuryExpected back
Andrew WaltersRPOutElbowabout 1 Feb
Colin HoldermanRP15-day injured listWristabout 1 Feb

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Betting angles

1 market live
Total RunsGame total · Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay RaysOver 7.5 +164
8.3proj. runs
L5 RF5.6L5 RA2.8Home L53-2

Cleveland Guardians total runs vs Tampa Bay Rays is live and our model makes it 45% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 8.3.

MoneylineCleveland GuardiansNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA2.8Home L53-2

Cleveland Guardians moneyline form: last five 4-1, 5.6 runs/gm.

Run LineCleveland Guardians run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA2.8Home L53-2

Cleveland Guardians spread form: last five 4-1, 5.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCleveland Guardians team totalNo line posted
5.6L5 runs/gm
L5 RF5.6L5 RA2.8Home L53-2

Cleveland Guardians team total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.6 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Cleveland Guardians have gone 4-1 over their last 5 games, averaging 6.0 runs and 9.0 hits per game while allowing 3.0 earned runs.

4-1
Last 5
6.0
Runs / G
9.0
Hits / G
1.0
HR / G
5.8
RBI / G
3.0
ER Allowed / G
14.6
Ks / G

Questions about the Guardians

When do the Guardians play next?

The Guardians host the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday 16 October 2026.

How often do the Guardians cover the run line?

In the 2025 regular season the Guardians covered the run line in 84 of 156 games: 40 of 81 at home and 44 of 75 away.

How often do Guardians games go over the total?

In the 2025 regular season, Guardians games went over the total 71 times in 153.

Who is injured for the Guardians?

2 players are on the injury list as of 15 October: Andrew Walters (elbow), Colin Holderman (wrist).

Where can I see the Guardians' next game preview?

Bet Better's Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

Cleveland Guardians are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Tampa Bay Rays on Friday 16 October at Progressive Field. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Cleveland Guardians.

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