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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ernie Clement is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 87%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +16.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 20, 4:10AM UTC
MLB

Ernie Clement

TOR

+16.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -238 (1.42)
+16.9% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Mon 20 Jul, 11:07PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
87.3%
Implied Probability
70.4%
Model Edge
+16.9%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits87.3%—70.4%1.15+16.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Ernie Clement (TOR) Under 1.5 Hits (-238)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Toronto Blue Jays take on the Tampa Bay Rays, all eyes will be on Ernie Clement. While he’s shown flashes of talent, recent trends suggest he might struggle to find the hit column tonight. The Rays' pitching staff has been robust lately, boasting a stingy 3.30 ERA over the last month, with their starters consistently keeping opposing hitters in check. Clement, primarily a utility player, has seen limited at-bats against quality right-handed pitchers. The Rays’ ace tonight, with his high strikeout rate, could be a tough matchup for him. Moreover, Clement’s recent performance has dipped, with just a couple of hits in his last ten appearances. With the odds leaning heavily towards the under, it’s hard to ignore the statistics that hint at a quiet night for him at the plate. Expect the Rays to keep him at bay, making the under on 1.5 hits a compelling play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

2 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming vs TBRU 1.5 -238+16.9% edge
60%hit L10
L2065%
Game log vs U 1.54 / 6 hit
102120

Ernie Clement MLB hits: cleared under 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games vs TBR. Current line U 1.5 at -238 (+16.9% model edge).

Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs TBRU 1.5 -154+11.4% edge
60%hit L10
L2055%
Game log vs U 1.52 / 4 hit
4201

Ernie Clement MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games vs TBR. Current line U 1.5 at -154 (+11.4% model edge).

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2085%
O 0.580%
O 1.540%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Ernie Clement MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Ernie Clement MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Ernie Clement MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2060%
O 0.560%
O 1.510%

Ernie Clement MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Jul 26 Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -244 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -159 ✓ HIT
17 Jul 26 Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Hits — — — Pending
17 Jul 26 Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
12 Jul 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ernie Clement (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ernie Clement is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.9% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays on Monday 20 July at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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