Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On Batter - Doubles, our numbers say this bet wins about 85 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 85%, implied 88%, edge +2.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 19, 5:57AM UTC
MLB
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles
Under 0.5
-714 (1.14) · $100→$114
+2.0% Edge
New York Yankees
@
Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Fri 14 Aug, 11:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 754 of 1,520 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Guerrero (concussion) participated in a light on-field workout Tuesday that included activation drills, jogging and higher-intensity running, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
updated Aug 18, 7:58PM UTC
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
90 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 89.7% · the book's price implies 87.7% · gap +2.0%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Doubles | 89.7% | 84.5% | 87.7% | 1.23 | +2.0% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 5/10 |
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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) Under 0.5 Doubles (-714)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Toronto Blue Jays play New York Yankees in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) Under 0.5 Doubles (-714). That is a Doubles bet. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Recent form (last 5 games)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o0.550%
o1.550%
o2.520%
o3.520%
o4.520%
Home / away and opponent splits
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.2 in home games, including his recent form against SEA.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 14 Aug 26 |
New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays |
Batter - Doubles |
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— |
— |
Pending |
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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays on Friday 14 August at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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