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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 51%, implied 53%, edge +6.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 8, 10:11AM UTC
MLB

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

TOR

+6.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
+6.6% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics
Wed 9 Sep, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 20 of 106 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
60 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 60.1% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +6.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases60.1%51.5%53.5%2.01+6.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/3
Last 10 games0/3

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AI Analysis

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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Athletics play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s lines for Wed 9 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Total Bases 1.5
-115 best over price · 6 booksHow many home runs does Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s batter total bases line is 1.5, best over price -115 across 6 books.

Batter Hits 1.5
+150 best over price · 5 booksHow many home runs does Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s batter hits line is 1.5, best over price +150 across 5 books.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.2
Runs
1.0
Walks
1.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 67% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.567%
o1.517%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.2 in home games, including his recent form against SEA.

0.8
Hits · Overall
1.2
Hits · Home
1.4
Hits · vs SEA
0.0
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs SEA
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -102 ✗ MISS
08 Sep 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics Batter - Runs Scored Pending
08 Sep 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics Batter - Hits Pending
08 Sep 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics Batter - RBIs Pending

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About This Player

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.6% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Athletics on Wednesday 9 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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