Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Scherzer is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +16.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:36PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks
Under 1.5
-130 (1.77) · $100→$177
+16.6% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays
@
Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 5:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
56.5%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Walks | 73.1% | — | 56.5% | 1.37 | +16.6% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 3/3 |
| Last 5 games | 4/5 |
| Last 10 games | 7/10 |
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Max Scherzer (WSN) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-130)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Max Scherzer (WSN) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-130). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.69 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
Max Scherzer MLB strikeouts: cleared over 3.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.5100%
O 1.590%
O 2.5100%
O 3.570%
O 4.540%
O 5.530%
O 6.510%
Max Scherzer MLB hits allowed: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted Max Scherzer MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Max Scherzer MLB earned runs: cleared over 1.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted 100%hit L10
11.4avg outs · L5
Streak16L2090%
Max Scherzer MLB outs: cleared over 10.5 in 100% of the last 10 games; averaging 11.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Max Scherzer (WSN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Scherzer is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.6% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday 9 August at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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