Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Scherzer is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 89%, for a model edge of +8.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:03PM UTC
MLB
Max Scherzer
TOR
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Over 1.5
-833 (1.12)
+8.3% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays
@
Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Fri 17 Oct, 12:33AM
OUT
Scherzer (back/thumb) will resume his rehab assignment with Triple-A Buffalo on Wednesday, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
updated Jul 20, 8:42PM UTC
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Implied Probability
89.3%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Hits Allowed | 97.6% | — | 89.3% | 1.02 | +8.3% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 3/10 |
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Max Scherzer (TOR) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-833)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
Max Scherzer MLB strikeouts: cleared over 3.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.5100%
O 1.590%
O 2.590%
O 3.570%
O 4.540%
O 5.520%
O 6.510%
Max Scherzer MLB hits allowed: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted Max Scherzer MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted 70%hit L10
2.4avg earned runs · L5
Streak3L2060%
Max Scherzer MLB earned runs: cleared over 1.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 2.4 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Max Scherzer MLB outs: cleared over 10.5 in 80% of the last 10 games; averaging 11.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Max Scherzer (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Scherzer is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.3% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners on Friday 17 October at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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