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Max Scherzer

WSN

Value call

Max Scherzer has one live pick today: under 5.5 strikeouts that pays $175 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
4.4 strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 55.2% · before adjusting for past results 71.2% · the book's price implies 57.1% · gap -2.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:07 PM ET
Max Scherzer
under 5.5 strikeouts
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 5.5 -133 (1.75) · $100→$175
Value call
LEANWins about 55 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.50 Odds-133
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Scherzer is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 55%, the price says 57%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 11:53AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts71.2%55.2%57.1%1.86+14.1%

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AI Analysis

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Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds: Max Scherzer Under 5.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (-133)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Max Scherzer has been struggling lately with his strikeouts, averaging less than one strikeout per game over his last three outings. The Toronto Blue Jays have not been in great form, winning only one of their last six games and losing three straight on the road. This could make it tougher for Scherzer to rack up the strikeouts against the Cincinnati Reds. The Reds play in a park where home runs leave more often, and with the wind blowing out toward the outfield tonight, hitters might connect better. With the way Scherzer has been pitching and the overall hitting conditions, it seems like a good idea to bet on him getting under 5.5 strikeouts. Just keep in mind that if he finds his rhythm, he could surprise everyone.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (24 picks) 62.5% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Strikeouts 5.5 Under -133 ✗ MISS
27 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Over +119 ✗ MISS
27 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Hits Allowed 3.5 Over -110 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
23 Sep 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending
23 Sep 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending

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About This Player

Max Scherzer (WSN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 62.5% on tracked Max Scherzer picks. The latest model pick for Max Scherzer is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.1% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday 27 September at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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