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The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Scherzer is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 1.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 1, 12:19AM UTC
MLB

Max Scherzer

WSN

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -149 (1.67) · $100→$167
Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Sun 30 Aug, 5:37PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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See the numbers

For the numbers: the book's price implies 59.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs——59.9%1.79—

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners: Max Scherzer Under 2.5 Pitcher - Earned Runs (-149)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The odds for Max Scherzer to allow under 2.5 earned runs seem promising tonight. Both the Blue Jays and Mariners have struggled against left-handed pitchers this season, and Scherzer fits that bill. With the wind blowing out toward the outfield, we might expect some runs, but Scherzer is a proven ace who can navigate tough situations. The biggest risk is that both teams have been inconsistent lately, with the Blue Jays having a tough time at home. Scherzer's recent strikeout average of 0.7 over the last three games shows he's not overpowering hitters right now, which could lead to more earned runs than expected. Still, this bet offers decent value given the circumstances.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Max Scherzer is averaging 4.0 hits, 0.8 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.0
Hits
0.8
HR
0.0
RBI
2.4
Runs
1.2
Walks
3.6
Ks

Home / away and opponent splits

Max Scherzer is averaging 4.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.0 in away games, including his recent form against SEA.

4.0
Hits · Overall
5.0
Hits · Away
4.0
Hits · vs SEA
0.8
HR · Overall
1.2
HR · Away
0.5
HR · vs SEA
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Aug 26 Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -149 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -127 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under +116 ✓ HIT
25 Aug 26 Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
25 Aug 26 Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
25 Aug 26 Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Max Scherzer (WSN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Scherzer is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. Their next game is Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday 30 August at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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