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Model picks & player props
Toronto Blue Jays
VS
Tampa Bay Rays

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 7, 1:43AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Indoor
Thu 20 Aug 2026, 5:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 9.5 Total Runs +186

The model graded 70 markets for Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $286 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 20 Aug 2026, 5:10PM at Tropicana Field.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win54.7%
The price says33.5%
Best price+186
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 9.5 Lean55% chance +186
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot20% chance
Total Runs Lean44% chance
Total Runs Long-shot17% chance
Total Runs Lean48% chance
Total Runs Lean53% chance
Spread Long-shot17% chance
Spread Lean41% chance
Spread Long-shot17% chance
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 11 props Highup to 94%
Batter - Total Bases × 4 props Highup to 87%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 2 props Highup to 86%
Batter - Walks × 14 props Highup to 100%
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 1 prop Highup to 81%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays last met on Thu 20 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 8.5 · $100 returned $740

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 40 of 116 right (mlb batter rbis overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
Dylan Crews Over 0.5
Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $342
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Blue JaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Blue JaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Blue JaysSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Blue JaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Shane Bieber SPOut
  • Jameson Taillon SPOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Trey Yesavage SPOut
  • Jonatan Clase LFOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Jake Bloss SPOut
  • Luis Urias 2BOut
  • Patrick Corbin SPOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Probable pitcher

Spencer Arrighetti SP

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Manuel Rodriguez RPOut
  • Garrett Cleavinger RPOut
  • Bryan Baker RPDay-to-day
  • Shane McClanahan SPOut
  • Jake Fraley RFOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Ben Williamson 2BOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Ian Seymour SP
Availability updated Sep 6, 6:35PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 23 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability23 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jorge Mateo BAL Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Junior Caminero TBR Batter - Total Bases
Ian Seymour Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Taylor Walls Batter - Walks
Shane Bieber CLE Pitcher - Hits Allowed

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineTampa Bay RaysNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.8Home L54-1vs Toronto Blue Jays L54-1Free board15-15

Tampa Bay Rays moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Run LineTampa Bay Rays run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.8Home L54-1vs Toronto Blue Jays L54-1Free board15-14

Tampa Bay Rays spread form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue JaysNo line posted

Tampa Bay Rays total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsTampa Bay Rays team totalNo line posted
2.1runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.8Home L54-1vs Toronto Blue Jays L54-1

Tampa Bay Rays team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent results

Tampa Bay Rays have won 3 of their last 5 games; Toronto Blue Jays have won 4 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–6TEXAway
W6–3TEXAway
L0–6TEXAway
L4–10NYMHome
W6–2NYMHome
Toronto Blue Jays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W9–2KCAway
W4–3KCAway
W6–3CLEAway
W11–0CLEAway
L1–6CLEAway

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Tampa Bay Rays won 6, Toronto Blue Jays won 4.

DateTampa Bay RaysToronto Blue JaysWinner
Aug 2015Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 1976Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 18510Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 2313Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 2242Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 21122Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 2071Tampa Bay Rays
May 1335Toronto Blue Jays
May 1276Tampa Bay Rays
May 1185Tampa Bay Rays

Who’s out or in doubt

23 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Manuel Rodriguez RPOUT
Garrett Cleavinger RPOUT
Bryan Baker RPDAY-TO-DAY
Shane McClanahan SPOUT
Jake Fraley RFOUT
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Gavin Lux LFOUT
Ben Williamson 2BOUT
Toronto Blue Jays
PlayerStatus
Shane Bieber SPOUT
Jameson Taillon SPOUT
Anthony Santander RFOUT
Trey Yesavage SPOUT
Jonatan Clase LFOUT
Yimi Garcia RPOUT
Jake Bloss SPOUT
Luis Urias 2BOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays — model preview

Our Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays prediction for August 21, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 21, 2026 our model has run Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Nick Fortes (MIA) Under 0.5 RBIs (-400), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
20 Aug 26 Spread Toronto Blue Jays +2 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Toronto Blue Jays 0.5 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Spread Toronto Blue Jays -1 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Toronto Blue Jays ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Spread Toronto Blue Jays +2.5 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Toronto Blue Jays -0.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Jays vs Rays, or as Rays vs Jays. The most recent game between them was Thursday 20 August 2026 at Tropicana Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 61 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Rays 35–26 across the last 61 meetings · these games average 9.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
20 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays1–5Toronto Blue Jays
19 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays7–6Tampa Bay Rays
18 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays5–10Toronto Blue Jays
23 Jul 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays3–1Toronto Blue Jays
22 Jul 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays2–4Tampa Bay Rays
21 Jul 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays2–12Tampa Bay Rays
20 Jul 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays1–7Tampa Bay Rays
13 May 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays5–3Toronto Blue Jays
12 May 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays6–7Tampa Bay Rays
11 May 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays5–8Tampa Bay Rays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 61 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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