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Model picks & player props
Toronto Blue Jays
VS
Tampa Bay Rays

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 70 markets for Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays and backs Over 6.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $163.

MLB
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Indoor
Thu 20 Aug 2026, 5:11PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 6.5 Total Runs -159

The model graded 70 markets for Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $163 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 20 Aug 2026, 5:11PM at Tropicana Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win73.4%
The price says58.6%
Best price-159
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 6.5 High73% chance -159
Spread Members only Long-shot35% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High63% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean46% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot7% chance Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 11 props Highup to 94% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 4 props Highup to 87% Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 2 props Highup to 86% Members
Batter - Walks × 14 props Highup to 100% Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 1 prop Highup to 81% Members
Batter - RBIs × 4 props Highup to 89% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 84% Members
Batter - Hits × 1 prop Highup to 88% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays last met on Thu 20 Aug 2026: Toronto Blue Jays won 5-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
7.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 62,748+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Blue JaysMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Blue JaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Dylan Cease SPOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Shane Bieber SPOut
  • Jameson Taillon SPOut
  • Rudy Martin Jr. RFOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Patrick Corbin SPOut
  • Jonatan Clase LFOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Jake Bloss SPOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Shane McClanahan SPOut
  • Griffin Jax SPDay-to-day
  • Jacob Melton LFOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Freddy Peralta SP
Availability updated Oct 6, 12:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jorge Mateo BAL Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Junior Caminero TBR Batter - Total Bases
Ian Seymour Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Taylor Walls Batter - Walks
Shane Bieber CLE Pitcher - Hits Allowed

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineTampa Bay RaysNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA2.8Home L52-3vs Toronto Blue Jays L52-3

Tampa Bay Rays moneyline form: last five 3-2, 4.4 runs/gm.

Run LineTampa Bay Rays run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA2.8Home L52-3vs Toronto Blue Jays L52-3

Tampa Bay Rays spread form: last five 3-2, 4.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue JaysNo line posted

Tampa Bay Rays total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsTampa Bay Rays team totalNo line posted
4.7runs we expect
L5 RF4.4L5 RA2.8Home L52-3vs Toronto Blue Jays L52-3

Tampa Bay Rays team total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.4 runs/gm.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent results

Tampa Bay Rays have won 4 of their last 5 games; Toronto Blue Jays have won 2 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–2NYYHome
W1–0NYYHome
L3–7PHIAway
W12–1PHIAway
W2–0PHIAway
Toronto Blue Jays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–1CINHome
L1–5CINHome
W6–5CINHome
L2–4BALAway
L2–4BALAway

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Tampa Bay Rays won 6, Toronto Blue Jays won 4.

DateTampa Bay RaysToronto Blue JaysWinner
Aug 2015Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 1976Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 18510Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 2313Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 2242Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 21122Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 2071Tampa Bay Rays
May 1335Toronto Blue Jays
May 1276Tampa Bay Rays
May 1185Tampa Bay Rays

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Shane McClanahan SPOUT
Griffin Jax SPDAY-TO-DAY
Jacob Melton LFOUT
Gavin Lux LFOUT
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Jonathan Heasley RPOUT
Ryan Pepiot SPOUT
Toronto Blue Jays
PlayerStatus
Dylan Cease SPOUT
Anthony Santander RFOUT
Shane Bieber SPOUT
Jameson Taillon SPOUT
Rudy Martin Jr. RFOUT
Cody Ponce SPOUT
Patrick Corbin SPOUT
Jonatan Clase LFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays — model preview

Our Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays prediction for August 21, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 21, 2026 our model has run Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Nick Fortes (MIA) Under 0.5 RBIs (-400), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Jays vs Rays, or as Rays vs Jays. The most recent game between them was Thursday 20 August 2026 at Tropicana Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays head-to-head record

Final scores · 61 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Rays 35–26 across the last 61 meetings · these games average 9.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 20 Aug 2026, Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays: the Blue Jays won 5-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
20 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays1–5Toronto Blue Jays
19 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays7–6Tampa Bay Rays
18 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays5–10Toronto Blue Jays
23 Jul 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays3–1Toronto Blue Jays
22 Jul 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays2–4Tampa Bay Rays
21 Jul 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays2–12Tampa Bay Rays
20 Jul 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays1–7Tampa Bay Rays
13 May 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays5–3Toronto Blue Jays
12 May 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays6–7Tampa Bay Rays
11 May 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays5–8Tampa Bay Rays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 61 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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