Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Model picks & player props
Oakland Athletics
VS
Toronto Blue Jays

Oakland Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 2:12PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Rogers Centre, Toronto
Indoor
20
Game Picks
15
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 4.5 (Team Total Runs)
For Oakland Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays (MLB), model win probability 70.7%, fair odds 1.41, book price -104, model edge +19.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Runs
Under
7.5
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

See the full board for this matchup — every market, every line, every edge — plus every pick across the slate.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Unlock the full calibrated board

See the model's calibrated probability, fair odds and edge on every market in this matchup.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Oakland Athletics

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Max Scherzer SPOut
  • Lenyn Sosa 2BOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Jesus Sanchez RFOut
  • Joe Mantiply RPOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Probable pitcher

Dylan Cease SP
Availability updated Jul 20, 11:07PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Oakland Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
JP Sears ATH Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Chris Bassitt TOR Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jose Berrios TOR Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jacob Wilson ATH Batter -Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jeffrey Springs ATH Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

Unlock every player prop for this game

Get the player, the line, the pick and the edge on every graded prop in this matchup.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineToronto Blue JaysNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.6Home L52-3vs Oakland Athletics L52-3Win rec3-9

Toronto Blue Jays moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Run LineToronto Blue Jays run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.6Home L52-3vs Oakland Athletics L52-3ATS5-9

Toronto Blue Jays spread form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Toronto Blue Jays vs Oakland AthleticsNo line posted

Toronto Blue Jays total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsToronto Blue Jays team totalNo line posted
2.3implied team total
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.6Home L52-3vs Oakland Athletics L52-3

Toronto Blue Jays team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Oakland Athletics @ Toronto Blue Jays — model preview

<p>Winning baseball bets for Toronto Blue Jays vs Oakland Athletics? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like JP Sears. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Toronto Blue Jays vs Oakland Athletics stats and odds.</p>

JP Sears (ATH) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-417)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on JP Sears for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is driven by his consistent record of allowing walks. In his last five games overall, Sears has averaged 1.6 walks per game, well above the line of 0.5. This trend holds steady in away games, where his average walks allowed is also 1.6. When facing the Toronto Blue Jays specifically, his walks allowed average increases to 2.3. Moreover, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, suggest that batters are consistently making contact with his pitches, which could correlate with a higher likelihood of walks. Therefore, based on Sears' historical performance data, it is statistically probable that he will allow more than 0.5 walks in the upcoming game against the Blue Jays.

Ernie Clement (TOR) Under 1.5 Hits (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Ernie Clement for Under 1.5 in the Batter Hits market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Clement's average hits per game at home is only 0.6, which is well under the line of 1.5. His plate appearances at home also average at a low 1.8, which further limits his opportunities to hit. Even when considering his overall performance against the Oakland Athletics, his hit average is only at 1, still below the line. Despite a current hit streak, the low averages in hits and plate appearances suggest a lower likelihood of Clement surpassing 1.5 hits in the upcoming game. Therefore, betting under 1.5 is statistically justified.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Oakland Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The model has generated 20 game picks and 15 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks