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Model picks & player props
Detroit Tigers
VS
Toronto Blue Jays

Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 5:12AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Rogers Centre, Toronto
Indoor
Sun 18 May 2025, 5:37PM
20
Game markets graded
5
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 3.5 Team Total -122

The model graded 25 markets for Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $182 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 18 May 2025, 5:37PM at Rogers Centre.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win58.3%
The price says54.9%
Best price-122
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Over 3.5 Lean58% chance -122
Team Total Long-shot9% chance
Team Total High95% chance
Team Total High82% chance
Team Total High90% chance
Team Total High72% chance
Team Total Lean44% chance
Team Total High98% chance
Team Total Long-shot30% chance
Batter - Total Bases × 1 prop Highup to 77%
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 89%
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 95%
Batter - Stolen Bases × 2 props Highup to 95%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total
Over
5.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Detroit Tigers

  • Riley Greene LFOut
  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Brant Hurter RPOut
  • Jack Flaherty SPOut
  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Justin Verlander SPOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
  • Reese Olson SPOut

Probable pitcher

Framber Valdez SP

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Trey Yesavage SPOut
  • Jameson Taillon SPOut
  • Josh Smith 2BOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Jonatan Clase LFOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Shane Bieber SPOut
  • Joe Mantiply RPOut
  • Jake Bloss SPOut
  • Luis Urias 2BOut
  • Patrick Corbin SPOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Probable pitcher

Max Scherzer SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 5:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 28 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability28 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Spencer Torkelson DET Batter - Total Bases
Jose Berrios TOR Pitcher - Strikeouts
Jose Berrios TOR Pitcher - Walks
Zach McKinstry DET Batter - Stolen Bases
George Springer TOR Batter - Stolen Bases

+ 5 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineToronto Blue JaysNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.0L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs Detroit Tigers L52-3

Toronto Blue Jays moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.0 runs/gm.

Run LineToronto Blue Jays run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.0L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs Detroit Tigers L52-3

Toronto Blue Jays spread form: last five 2-3, 1.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit TigersNo line posted

Toronto Blue Jays total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsToronto Blue Jays team totalNo line posted
1.1runs we expect
L5 RF1.0L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs Detroit Tigers L52-3

Toronto Blue Jays team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.0 runs/gm.

Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays — what the model found

Our model graded 25 betting markets for Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays — 20 on the game itself and 5 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
5
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 25 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 24 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays — recent results

Toronto Blue Jays have won 4 of their last 5 games; Detroit Tigers have won 2 of their last 5.

Toronto Blue Jays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–0SEAHome
W4–3SEAHome
W8–1SEAHome
L2–13KCHome
W3–0KCHome
Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–6LADHome
W2–1LADHome
L1–2LADHome
L0–3TBHome
W4–1TBHome

Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: Toronto Blue Jays won 3, Detroit Tigers won 2.

DateToronto Blue JaysDetroit TigersWinner
May 1741Toronto Blue Jays
May 1621Toronto Blue Jays
May 1523Detroit Tigers
Mar 1416Detroit Tigers
Mar 850Toronto Blue Jays
Mar 144Draw
Feb 2544Draw

Who’s out or in doubt

28 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Blue Jays
PlayerStatus
Trey Yesavage SPOUT
Jameson Taillon SPOUT
Josh Smith 2BOUT
Anthony Santander RFOUT
Jonatan Clase LFOUT
Yimi Garcia RPOUT
Shane Bieber SPOUT
Joe Mantiply RPOUT
Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Riley Greene LFOUT
Matt Vierling CFOUT
Brant Hurter RPOUT
Jack Flaherty SPOUT
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Will Vest RPOUT
Justin Verlander SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Tigers vs Jays, or as Jays vs Tigers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 18 May 2025 at Rogers Centre. The model has generated 20 game picks and 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 37 meetings on record
Toronto Blue Jays 19–16 across the last 37 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 9.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
17 May 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers1–4Toronto Blue Jays
16 May 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers1–2Toronto Blue Jays
15 May 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers3–2Detroit Tigers
14 Mar 2026Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays1–6Detroit Tigers
8 Mar 2026Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays5–0Toronto Blue Jays
1 Mar 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers4–4Draw
25 Feb 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers4–4Draw
27 Jul 2025Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers10–4Detroit Tigers
26 Jul 2025Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers1–6Toronto Blue Jays
25 Jul 2025Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers2–6Toronto Blue Jays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 37 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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