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Model picks & player props
Detroit Tigers
VS
Toronto Blue Jays

Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 8:38PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Rogers Centre, Toronto
Indoor
Sun 18 May 2025, 5:37PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Over 4.5 (Team Total)
The model graded 20 markets for Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $252 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 43.6%, fair odds 2.30, book price +152, model edge +3.9%. Tip-off Sun 18 May 2025, 5:37PM at Rogers Centre.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total
Over
5.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Detroit Tigers

  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Brant Hurter RPOut
  • Justin Verlander SPOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Jack Flaherty SPOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
  • Reese Olson SPOut

Toronto Blue Jays

  • George Springer DHDay-to-day
  • Spencer Arrighetti SPOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Luis Urias 2BOut
  • Trey Yesavage SPOut
  • Patrick Corbin SPOut
  • Lenyn Sosa 2BOut
  • Joe Mantiply RPOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Jonatan Clase LFOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Probable pitcher

Jameson Taillon SP
Availability updated Aug 10, 11:07PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 26 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability26 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineToronto Blue JaysNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA0.6Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L53-2

Toronto Blue Jays moneyline form: last five 5-0, 2.6 runs/gm.

Run LineToronto Blue Jays run lineNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA0.6Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L53-2

Toronto Blue Jays spread form: last five 5-0, 2.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit TigersNo line posted

Toronto Blue Jays total runs form: last five 5-0, 2.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsToronto Blue Jays team totalNo line posted
1.5runs we expect
L5 RF2.6L5 RA0.6Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L53-2

Toronto Blue Jays team total runs form: last five 5-0, 2.6 runs/gm.

Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays — recent results

Toronto Blue Jays have won 2 of their last 5 games; Detroit Tigers have won 3 of their last 5.

Toronto Blue Jays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L6–7PHIAway
W7–5PHIAway
W5–4PHIAway
L2–3CHCAway
L2–7HOUAway
Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–1SFAway
L2–5SFAway
W8–0SFAway
L2–4SEAAway
W11–0SEAAway

Who’s out or in doubt

26 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Blue Jays
PlayerStatus
George Springer DHDAY-TO-DAY
Spencer Arrighetti SPOUT
Yimi Garcia RPOUT
Luis Urias 2BOUT
Trey Yesavage SPOUT
Patrick Corbin SPOUT
Lenyn Sosa 2BOUT
Joe Mantiply RPOUT
Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Brant Hurter RPOUT
Justin Verlander SPOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Will Vest RPOUT
Matt Vierling CFOUT
Jack Flaherty SPOUT
Burch Smith RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Tigers vs Jays, or as Jays vs Tigers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 18 May 2025 at Rogers Centre. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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