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The latest Bet Better model pick for Myles Straw is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +3.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 6:45PM UTC
MLB

Myles Straw

TOR

+3.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -769 (1.13)
+3.8% Edge
Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Sat 16 Aug, 7:07PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
92.3%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+3.8%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases92.3%—88.5%1.08+3.8%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Myles Straw (TOR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-769)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Myles Straw for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his recent performance statistics. Straw's last five games show an average stolen base (SB) rate of just 0.2, both overall and at home, indicating a low frequency of successful steals. In fact, his SB average against this specific opponent, the Texas Rangers, is also 0.2, further emphasizing the consistency of his lower SB rate. Moreover, Straw has shown no caught stealing (Cs) instances, indicating he's not even attempting many steals. Lastly, while he is on a hit streak, this doesn't necessarily translate to stolen bases. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's reasonable to expect Straw to have less than 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2050%
O 0.550%
O 1.520%

Myles Straw MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.530%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%

Myles Straw MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2050%
O 0.550%
O 1.530%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%

Myles Straw MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.510%

Myles Straw MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.510%

Myles Straw MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg walks · L5
O 0.520%

Myles Straw MLB walks: averaging 0.2 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Myles Straw (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Myles Straw is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.8% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday 16 August at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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