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MLB

Detroit Tigers

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Los Angeles Angels (Away) Sat 18 Jul, 1:38AM Angel Stadium, Anaheim · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 17, 8:06AM UTC
Answer
The Detroit Tigers model is leaning the over in the Total Runs market vs Los Angeles Angels.
exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Total Runs
Over 9
Odds: +128
Model prob: 58.5%
+14.7%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 6 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 13 Jul 2026, 20:47 UTC · may be stale
2B
Gleyber TorresOUTinjury
CF
Parker MeadowsOUTinjury
RF
Wenceel PerezOUTinjury
RP
Bailey HornOUTinjuryBrant HurterOUTinjuryBurch SmithOUTinjuryWill VestOUTinjury
SP
Jackson JobeOUTinjuryJustin VerlanderOUTinjuryReese OlsonOUTinjury
SS
Javier BaezOUTinjuryTrey SweeneyOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate
DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

3 markets live
Total RunsGame total · Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles AngelsOver 9.5 +162+16.1% edge
54%over %
10.0proj. runs
L5 RF4.4L5 RA1.4Away L54-1O/U6-9

Detroit Tigers total runs vs Los Angeles Angels is live with a model 54% read and a +16.1% model edge; proj. runs 10.0.

Run LineDetroit Tigers run line-3 +298+9.8% edge
-1.2proj. margin
L5 RF4.4L5 RA1.4Away L54-1

Detroit Tigers spread vs Los Angeles Angels is live with a model 35% read and a +9.8% model edge; proj. margin -1.2.

MoneylineDetroit Tigers to win-106+6.9% edge
58%model win %
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA1.4Away L54-1

Detroit Tigers moneyline vs Los Angeles Angels is live with a model 58% read and a +6.9% model edge; L5 record 3-2.

Team Total RunsDetroit Tigers team totalNo line posted
4.4L5 runs/gm
L5 RF4.4L5 RA1.4Away L54-1

Detroit Tigers team total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.4 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Detroit Tigers have gone 3-2 over their last 5 games, averaging 4.4 runs and 5.4 hits per game while allowing 1.4 earned runs.

3-2
Last 5
4.4
Runs / G
5.4
Hits / G
1.0
HR / G
2.8
RBI / G
1.4
ER Allowed / G
4.2
Ks / G

About This Team

Detroit Tigers are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Los Angeles Angels on Saturday 18 July at Angel Stadium. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Detroit Tigers.