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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for George Springer is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 67%, for a model edge of +7.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 18, 9:27AM UTC
MLB

George Springer

TOR

+7.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -200 (1.50)
+7.5% Edge
Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Sat 18 Jul, 7:07PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
74.1%
Implied Probability
66.7%
Model Edge
+7.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases74.1%66.7%1.35+7.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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George Springer (TOR) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Toronto Blue Jays gear up to face the Chicago White Sox, all eyes will be on George Springer, but it might be wise to temper expectations regarding his total bases. Despite his explosive potential, Springer has encountered a rough patch lately, hitting just .220 over the last two weeks. The White Sox will send out a pitcher who has been surprisingly effective against right-handed hitters, boasting a sub-3.50 ERA in his last few starts. Additionally, the Blue Jays' lineup has shown signs of inconsistency, and with the White Sox's bullpen ranked among the top in strikeouts this season, scoring opportunities could be limited. Considering these trends, betting on Springer to go under 1.5 total bases seems reasonable. He’s liable to face a steady diet of quality pitches, making it a tall order for him to clear that threshold today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs CWSU 1.5 -200+7.5% edge
67%hit L10

George Springer MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 67% of the last 10 games vs CWS. Current line U 1.5 at -200 (+7.5% model edge).

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%
O 1.533%

George Springer MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%
O 1.533%

George Springer MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%
O 1.533%
O 2.533%
O 3.533%
O 4.533%

George Springer MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%
O 1.533%

George Springer MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%
O 1.533%

George Springer MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Jul 26 Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -192 ✗ MISS
12 Jul 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -154 ✓ HIT
20 Jun 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -270 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

George Springer (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for George Springer is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.5% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday 18 July at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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